Monkeypox – History with links

So… the President of the United States told you to be concerned about monkeypox. But not as concerned as for the Wuhan Cough. But still quite concerned.

While the Wuhan Virus was in some ways a bit different (though not really too different from the other respiratory pathogens we humans encountered in the recent past), the monkeypox is known for over 60 years. And, in fact, the corporate media has been stirring panic over it multiple times over the last 20 years or so.

But before we get to history, please take a quick look at the little document below:

So, the reason both the President of the USA and the skeptic/alternative media are talking about this is because someone’s been nasty in public with the monkeypox yet again (yes, this also happened in the past too). And it’s not just any random somebody – but exactly the Wuhan Virology Institute, you know, kinda sort of the source of the Wuhan Flu which is still being used by various countries (including and especially the People’s Republic of China) to suppress civil liberties.

Stunning. Wuhan Lab was Experimenting with Monkeypox Last Year – Published Research Report in International Journal in February

EXC: The Infamous Wuhan Lab Recently Assembled Monkeypox Strains Using Methods Flagged For Creating ‘Contagious Pathogens’.

History time

However, unlike the Wuhan Coronavirus, the monkeypox has decades of literature behind it and also multiple attempts by media or governments (assuming the two entities are separate) to turning it into a panic.

Remember the monkeypox panic of December 2019?

Or the monkeypox panic of 1997?

How about the monkeypox from 2018?

Or the monkeypox panic of 2017?

Or the panic from 2010?

Friendly reminder that monkeypox has been around for exactly 65 years already.

In fact, every year there are quite a few cases of monkeypox outside of the endemic area of Africa
Here’s a story from 2019 with a similar outbreak like the one in 2022:

Here’s a 2017 story from WashPo on how monkeypox has been studied: [tl;dr: places in the middle of fucking nowhere, accessible only by UN boats and where electricity doesn’t exist.]

2010 story from National Geographic about the connection between ending the smallpox vaccination programme and monkeypox:

Very serious outbreak of monkeypox occurred in the USA in 2003. Here’s a 2004 study about it:

Nigeria has routine monkeypox outbreaks. There’s even Interim National Guidelines released once-a-decade on how to respond to outbreaks. Here’s the most recent one available [2017]:

Occasionally the disease spills over in countries around Nigeria.
For instance in 2018, Liberia was hit quite harshly:

It will not be the first time humans are being stupid in public over monkeypox.
For instance in 2012 the CDC/US Feds quarantined a Delta flight over fears of monkeypox.

It was… bed bugs.

Here’s a 2010 story about monkeypox in Zaire/DR Congo and why the disease didn’t just die off as the eXpErTs had expected:

Just yesterday, in Romania, a doctor that has been making waves over his “warnings” of monkeypox allegedly found at his hospital… had to be taken to the loony bin after he beat up a patient and two nurses, and then tried to drive a garbage truck. You see… viral panics attract the looniest members of society.

Well, similar things happened in Britain in 2018. Most of the tabloid press and other media took it upon themselves to warn the public about the looming danger(s) of the monkeypox. Rumours of “hundreds” of “cases” spread like wildfire (and, just like with Covid or with monkeypox today, no clear definition of what a “case” means was offered). In reality, there had been exactly… two cases. Both discussed at length in this paper: (please notice the quality and the precision of clinical data – the opposite of what was and still is the case with Covid19)

Soon after, the British press mostly deleted their panicard BS. In 2019, here’s how the issue was being framed:

Here’s a 2016 story of the very serious monkeypox outbreak in DR Congo:

BS stories about monkeypox aren’t a new phenomenon at all. Nor an exclusive purview of the West.

Here’s the health minister in Malaysia in 2019, exasperated by the media’s exaggerations of the monkeypox (which at the time hadn’t even been detected in his country):

The United States suffered through an outbreak of monkeypox 19 years ago, in the year 2003. Here’s how the CDC was describing the situation in the middle of the outbreak:

As of July 8, 2003, a total of 71 cases of monkeypox have been reported to CDC from Wisconsin (39), Indiana (16), Illinois (12), Missouri (two), Kansas (one), and Ohio (one); these include 35 (49%) cases laboratory-confirmed at CDC and 36 (51%) suspect and probable cases under investigation by state and local health departments

Here’s how the 2003 outbreak was described in a paper from 2006 (remember that any outbreak is better analyzed at its end, rather than in the middle of it – because cooler heads can prevail and emotion/panic doesn’t run as high):

In May and June 2003, public health officials identified an outbreak of human monkeypox in the United States. This was the first instance of human monkeypox virus (MPXV) infection detected outside its endemic range in Africa. As of July 30, 2003, a total of 72 human cases had been reported. Thirty-seven (51%) cases were eventually laboratory confirmed, and 35 met the case definition set by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Among the 35 patients whose cases were laboratory confirmed before July 11, 2003, 32 (91%) tested positive for MPXV by PCR, culture, immunohistochemical testing, or electron microscopy of skin lesions; 2 tested positive by PCR and/or culture of an oropharyngeal or nasopharyngeal swab; and 1 tested positive by PCR and culture of a lymph node aspirate. To date, no new animal or human cases have been reported.

The outbreak was relatively large compared with most reported events in Africa, but clinical features were milder than typically seen there. No human deaths occurred, although 2 children required intensive care. One patient received a corneal transplant due to chronic ocular infection.

Paper from 2006:

Please notice that PCR tests were a thing then too. Though, unlike 2020/21/22, they weren’t used randomly on the general population – which allowed for a much more precise use. And even so, the PCR test was still rather useless as a diagnostic tool. Back in those days, diseases were counted by clinical diagnosis. The good ol’ days…

Anyway, “your pets are a danger” is also not a new narrative.

Here’s a cached document by New York Health authorities from almost 20 years ago where the potential connections between pets and monkeypox are laid out:

REEEEEE be afraid!
Here’s sCiEnTiSts and eXpErTs peddling panicard BS 14 years ago about monkeypox:

There was a time when the mainstream Left was equally skeptical of the public health establishment and Big Pharma as the Right.
Here’s an article about monkeypox in The Guardian from 2003: -> Notice that the possibility of it spreading wildly through humans is treated with a shrug, precisely because the disease itself is pretty mild (and infection-acquired immunity is lifelong and sterilizing, by the way).

Experiments on and with monkeypox in aerosolized form (in theory more transmissible – tho not necessarily in practice) aren’t new either.
Here’s a paper from 2001 discussing such an experiment:

Here’s some more panicard sCiEnCe from 2010, funded by NIAD (read: Anthony Faucci) –

And, finally, here’s a review of both experimental and natural infections of animals with monkeypox from 1958 to 2012:


So… does all of this mean that this time ’round there won’t be a general(ized) panic about the monkeypox even though it’s the third or fourth semi-serious transnational outbreak just this century? Unfortunately, the answer is no.

“People are not stupid, people are fucking stupid” – is a reality that the powers that be know all too well. Additionally, unlike 2001, 2003, 2010 and 2019, people are significantly stupider today. Or, at the very least, the stupidity of the general public is far more evident today than it was at the turn of the century. With this fact in mind, do expect authorities in at least some countries to be supremely stupid in public.

Remember that in 2009, a few countries did go into lockdown over a very mild flu. And highly advanced countries at some point in time were very proud of spreading DDT everywhere in order to fight child paralysis. In fact, they were proud of it:

The point that I’m making is that the ability and willingness of the Trust the Science™ crowd to endorse policies that amount to being supremely stupid in public is not a new phenomenon. It did not start with Covid19 and there is no reason for it not to be manifested during this outbreak of monkeypox.

The purpose of this article is to equip you with the knowledge that this movie has been seen before. Monkeypox experiments (including dubious lab experiments), media panic over it, dubious policies meant to “protect” but in fact did only harm, dubious NPIs being deployed, very fake news spreading like wildfire… all of those happened multiple times just in the last 20 years. And the world didn’t end under a pile of monkeypox rashes. It won’t this time either.

Also, it is true that the smallpox vaccine protects (because, unlike the myocarditis-inducing experimental gene therapy clotshots of 2020, it actually is a vaccine). It is also true that infection-acquired immunity is lifelong and sterilizing.

Also, while it makes for good memes, monkeypox is not like HIV (Gay-related immune deficiency – GRID) in the sense that it’s not an STD per se. It’s still funny though to watch/read concocted double speak like “individuals who self-identify as gay or bi-sexual as well as other communities of men who have sex with other men” – because, you see, “homosexuals” is just not hip enough anymore.

That’s it for now. Don’t panic. Grab popcorn. And enjoy the shitshow.

The biolabs blunder

During times of crisis (any crisis – be it war, pandemics, accidents, PR mess, politico-sexual scandals, you name it) the first thing you need to do is to get ahead of the story. Get your version of the story as fast as possible before the enemy gets to deploy a spin on it.

Since Putin rolled in the tanks in Ukraine, the West has done a decent enough job at staying ahead of the story. As cynical as this may sound to some ears, the informational (read: propaganda) aspect of the war is routinely more important or at least equally important to the operational aspect. In other words: the actual victory on the field may not matter at all if you lose the propaganda dispute. The Vietnam War is a prime example on how you can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory because the propaganda was neglected.

Up until about 7 days ago the main lines of attack by the Russian propaganda fell flat outright. Those lines being:

  • muh Azov battalion
  • muh oppression of Russians by the Ukrainians
  • muh Nazis
  • muh denazification of the Jewish-led Ukrainian government 🤡

Nobody seriously believed any of these. And the first two elements have been pushed by various agents of Russian disinformation for 8 years now. And they convinced roughly nobody. Which goes to show that even Russian propagandists aren’t what they used to be. Basic rules of propaganda say that you have to withdraw a talking point after a while, especially if it’s clearly unsuccessful.

Muh biolabs

But then the russkies came up with a (not exactly) new talking point: The existence of US-assisted biolabs in Ukraine.

Even this talking point isn’t particularly new. Here’s for instance Russian state agency TASS discussing this talking point in April 2020. Here is the Chinese official propaganda tabloid amplifying this in April 2021. Here is Russian state media Rossya24 discussing this in 2018 – except at that time they were also alleging a similar thing about Georgia as well because, hey, the Russian invasion in Georgia had to be justified somehow. In fact, the “biolabs in Georgia” claim was used again in May 2020 in conjunction with the Wuhan Flu panic (and they added Kazakhstan into the mix too for extra credibility).

The point being this: “Muh biolabs” is not a new line of attack by Russian disinformation. It’s been around for at least 4 years and it’s not related to either the war in Ukraine or the CCP virus pandemic.

Why did it work this time ’round?

Having established that none of this is exactly new, it is still clear that this time around the line of attack worked much better than in the previous attempts. The reasons are simple: the West not only has stupider people in its leadership, but also significantly more corrupt people.

In 2018 and 2020, this line of attack was not ignored and countered immediately with on-site interviews, transparent footage and re-publishing of the relevant treaties.

This time ’round, however, the Western establishment chose the worst possible approach – namely to deny the very existence of these labs and call everyone who disagrees a Putinist. Congratulations Western establishment! The real Putinists and their friends are grateful!

Those who wish to promote this talking point (either on behalf of Russia or simply because they despise the current Western establishment) now have all the weapons they need to spin as many conspiracy theories as they please using “the customer’s material” – namely official Western sources.

Leaving aside the fog around Victoria “fuck the EU” Nulland’s speech, the existence of these labs has been public information since at least 2005 when a relevant treaty was signed. Prior to the signing of the treaty, two US Senators – Republican Richard Lugar and Democrat Barack Hussein Obama (remember him?) alongside a team of CDC and other pharma people inspected the sites. And Russia knew about it. In fact, the Russian government (Putin’s government!) officially apologized in 2005 for pulling some shenanigans arouns Lugar and Obama’s plane. None of this is (or ever was) secret. The fricking Chicago Tribune wrote about it for crying out loud!

With these undeniable facts on the table, anyone can concoct any conspiracy theory he or she wants. Sure, most would be implausible for those who haven’t heard about Ukraine this morning. But most people – including most of those who now do performative #StandWithUkraine support on social media – have quite literally heard about Ukraine this morning. That crop of people is easily subvertible and dissuadable by a well-written story starting from the facts laid out even by the establishment’s tools such as Politifact.

And let us not forget the backdrop of all of this: Both Western societies and Russian society are just coming out of a pandemic that was rife with disinformation including, and especially, from the public health establishments and governments. That means both the Russian public and the Western public is primed to believing any story pertaining to the dangers of lab-leaked pathogens – in part because the public has already seen this movie before.

Friendly reminder: The establishment was very quick to deny that the CCP Virus got leaked from the Wuhan Institute of Virology, even though that distinct possibility wasn’t refuted even partially to this day.

So, from a propaganda perspective, thanks to Western incompetence and, yes, corruption, this old line of attack by Russia’s disinformation machine has gotten new and improved teeth.

What does this mean and what can be done?

So for the next several weeks, expect a lot more stories carefully planted in as many newspapers as possible and carefully written in such a way as to keep you in both fear and doubt.

The purpose of this line of attack isn’t to reveal Western corruption (few people even care about that to begin with – Russians included). Nor is it to distract your attention from the mass murder that Russia is committing in Ukraine – even though it may seem like that.

The purpose of this line of attack is to stoke new fears into a [Western and Russian] public already stressed by pandemic fatigue and to make the Western public doubt the USA. The occupant is relying on the fact that the public is already aware of the mountains of lies perpetrated by the so-called “public health” establishment during the pandemic. Of course, nobody will tell you that the Russian “public health” establishment was just as HONK if not even more so as the Canadian, German or Italian one.

What you can do – in addition to always telling the truth – is to recognize that you don’t have to suck Putin’s dick in order to own the libs.

The DTRA (Defense Threat Reduction Agency) is real and it assists laboratories in Ukraine. This is neither a nothingburger nor a catastrophe. Since this is a war, completely trusting an interested source right now is detrimental. Which is why I only presented documents that predate this war. And that’s also what you should do as well if you want to do something.

There will be new “revelations” – must of them bullshit, some of them true. Sifting through them will be a challenge. Just make sure you don’t keep a mind so open that your brains fall over.

With that said, though, we should recognize that this is the first serious blunder of the West on the propaganda front. And it’s a costly blunder. Oh well… 🤷🏻‍♂️

Keep calm and Slava Ukrayini!

The danger of ignorance in regards to China

I was inspired to write this article after a discussion on Telegram regarding some techno-optimist Romanian Youtuber who was apparently anti-China; in fact people from the conversation maintained the idea that this guy was more anti-China than my Sofa associate, Lucian, the one publicly acclaimed by a Romanian boomer “God from the Sofa”.  Jokes aside, this is true in the same way that, in the first Star Wars episode, when Obi-Wan and Anakin were in the ocean and attacked by colossal fish – there’s bigger fish out there.

Well, that is me; the one who, if I had a fleet on my hands, I would have blockaded all Chinese access to the Pacific with zero remorse.

Why such a radical statement?

The answer is both simple and complicated; the short answer would be that humanity as a whole has regressed irreversibly due to the addiction based on the world’s cheapo workshop, China; a sample of the consequences of globalisation, as well as the disproportionate addiction to a single industrial power that we observe now and for many years to come is when the entire planet was shoved into the chicken coop in 2020 and a few countries even in 2021; suddenly the logistical model of Just In Time deliveries went у пизду and a lot of supply chains have suddenly grinded to a halt due to component shortages, for example car chips. This is still the peak of the iceberg when it comes to problems and decisions taken at a political level, but the people themselves are not devoid of any fault, because it’s not like the status quo got shoved down their throats; the vast majority has chosen to comply to the system and not bother thinking about the potential future consequences of such choices.

Still, let’s get going with the story.

In the race to build stuff as cheap as possible, we became the slaves of globalisation

Go into any shop and become conscious of the place the products you buy are made in; you’re going to find out very fast that a lot of them are made in China, and plenty who are not directly made in China, use materials sourced from China.

China has became an expert in undermining critical economic sectors, because in the eyes of the CCP they would rather lose money through such stratagems if it came with a win on the geopolitics and economic front to dominate one of these. We’ve seen this recently in Serbia when it was about opening a lithium mine. Aleksandr Vučić being a bridgehead for China in Europe, managed to easily mobilise the plebs in order to not risk his relation to China by not allowing lithium battery factories to appear, whether directly or indirectly controlled by China.

Yes, almost all lithium batteries used in the electronic devices that we all have, from laptops, smartphones, electric cars, cuckmobiles (also known as e-scooters), external batteries…the list goes on. It’s not like you need something special or high-tech to fabricate batteries someplace else; Tesla has proven this pretty clearly, but Tesla is an exception because it is a niche company where the added value of products is very big, and Musk can afford such acts of independence; well, others are not so lucky: if you want batteries, you better make friends with Xi, because only Xi’s country has basically non-existent pollution regulations and artificially cheap and numerous labour force to undermine other Gigafactories like Tesla.

Any sort of smartphone manufacturer that you may be, when you invest tens, if not hundreds of millions in R&D, miniaturise compnents and still make them relatively accessible, it’s all for naught if you don’t have an electricity source to power the entire shebang; you would lose constantly against others who won’t have any problem buying batteries from China just because you want to go against the trend, and the public will punish you by not buying the product, because the public doesn’t care about such things.

OMG, what do you mean that the public doesn’t care?

When my Sofa associate says that people are not stupid, people are fucking stupid, it sounds like cynicism and absurdity, but it really is like that and if I were to gather sufficient evidence, we wouldn’t even end up enumerating, let alone explaining all of them by the end of 2030. Contextually to this article, people don’t care about where the things they own come from, and from that moment on we can’t also talk about the Science Fiction which are the consequences related to this ignorance.

People continue to buy iPhones despite its manufacturers jump out of the window to commit suicide and the company installed anti-suicide nets. People continue to buy fashion clothing and accessories despite the fact that forcefully sterilised minorities are transformed into slaves to source the cotton for them. You can’t argue that consoomers “didn’t know” what they were doing when they are voting with their wallet by buying such products, while at the same time there are a myriad of other things in the same situation, one way or another, that we buy without considering the consequences; there, now we removed the potential moral crusaders from the discussion.

It’s clear that from this point of view we don’t have an audience if we are to organise a campaign of informing people; people will continue to buy things taking into consideration in a great part the price of the product, the price which is kept artificially low; at the same time technologies got cheaper and trickled down naturally to be more affordable for the larger public, good or bad, but especially the ones we need to be observant are the unknown ones.

Undermining national economies

(This part is explained using Romanian examples, as it wasn’t intended initially to be in English, so apologies in advance if you don’t get the context)

Here is where I’m going to lose the appeal from some of you when I will say that from an economic point of view, Ceaușescu’s push towards industrialization was a good idea, but an exaggerated one at that. Where exaggerations occurred was that the inherent inertia from a centrally-planned economy who also wished for autarchy, these were the leading reasons where situations that were impossible to manage appeared, which inevitably led to the economic collapse and Ceaușescu’s self-helicoptering; however, in itself the decision was still good, but after the collapse of Communism that rug was pulled from under everyone’s feet part due to the political decisions, but also part due to the population which didn’t understand what is going on.

This aspect still applies for the current political class (because our politicians still come from the same population), already the global situation is complicated where, in the European Union you are undermined from 4 sides: German mercantilism, straight-up undermining from China, then the strangulation of ever-expanding hyper-regulation from Brussels and from Bucharest (same principle applies for other European nations, btw; look at how idiotic local and national laws are for economic activities); for the first two it’s difficult to do something without a parallel structure that could compete economically (something that the Intermarium Initiative could solve in the future), but for the last two, especially the national regulations, that is why we live in collective misery and we live with the mantra “the one that bows his head, the sword shall not cut him”.

In Bucharest it’s fascinating to walk in all sorts of random shops where, instead of finding garlic from the Giurgiu region, 20-50km South of the capital, you find garlic brought all the way from China. At the same time we haven’t got a national retailer built up from domestic capital anywhere in the top 20 national retailers (on the 21st being Annabella with shops around Dâmbovița and surrounding counties, and further down the Unicam Cooperative which started from Satu Mare and has a few shops around Transilvania and Vaslui).

You can never convince me that a super-state entity like the self-serving Brussels bureaucrats, that function like in the former USSR (that is why we part-joke and part-seriously use the term EUSSR or Европейский Союз) knows better what is the perfect curvature of bananas, how drinking water actually does not hydrate you, or why you should have a tampon tax of 5% just because the Commission decreed so. Let’s not even talk about the monstrous Common Agricultural Policy, this neo-Valev Plan of the European Union. (English source materials about this policy are scarce – like all relevant elements of Soviet policy that might make people reexamine the Европейски съюз)

No, no, hell no, and if you insist, you deserve to be hit with the shovel straight in the head, under the expectation that maybe your synapses will rearrange themselves, in order to not pretend that this EU circlejerk can have an opinion related to domains far away from their realm of understanding even remotely.

The same thing can be said about Romania, where aside from the regulation shoved down our throats by the EU, we got out own class of self-serving bureaucrats on the Soviet model from Bucharest, who think that Uncle Lajos from rural, Hungarian-majority region Harghita needs to be told the number of maximum pigs he must have on his property and how to take care of them, or now in the current energy crisis, to no one’s surprise, the State gains the most out of it.

No one should mess around with food or other strategic sectors if we are to look at the historical standard of the people, but the economy overall, in sectors critical to the well-functioning of the country, a people undermined from the outside and from the inside will remain on par with the proles described by Orwell in his famous book. Sure, if something will change regarding perception, it’ll happen at a grassroots level, but we got to get rid first of all of this omnipresent mentality of “the State should do this and that”.

Covert colonialism via Belt & Road

Always pay attention to people who speak positively about China, because friendships with China already end up being disastrous for the country that is bewitched by the miracle of “reciprocal economic development and friendship between the people”. We got a considerable list of victims that fell for plenty of reasons, most of the times due to a mix of naivete and corruption, in the trap of modern colonialism:

This list is by no means complete, but you get the idea how venomous Chinese investments are. Things will continue as they are because there are plenty of countries and political structures ripe for exploitation by Chinese imperialism, but at least let’s learn something from the examples provided by these nations to not fall in the same trap, but in particular to boycott a Communist state which transforms entire countries into colonies of debt slaves for their interests. Each country has its own Sinophiles, but there are also threats from the EU itself which is full of Sinophiles, led by the German political class which also threatens security when we talk about relationships with Russia.

Okay, what is there to be done?

Boycott anything of Chinese manufacturing; plenty of times products made locally or in another place close by are just marginally more expensive, but on the longer term more reliable when you factor in the cost, but also its lifespan. This applies to electronics, but also household appliances, clothes, products and the sites that made a business out of selling copies, like Alibaba/Aliexpress.

Undermine Sionphile sympathies; like in the case of avalanches, it’s sufficient just for a few CCP agents or shills for free to enter in political structures, and from that moment on it’ll be much more difficult to uproot the cancer, at a considerable cost as well.

Pay attention and undermine propaganda coming from international Chinese institutions; The Confucious Institute in particular is the main culprit, being a significant institute that initiates naive people in sympathising and shilling for the CCP, by using the rich Chinese culture in baiting people towards them. TikTok is also a significant problem, being used constantly by a humongous population of naive people, especially young people over the age of 13, without them being aware that they play China’s game, when we look at how prevalent pro-China propaganda is on the platform.

Meanwhile in Moldova

Uploading videos in real time is less of a challenge in Moldova than in other places (e.g. Georgia, Ukraine or Zimbabwe). The internet speeds are quite decent (superiour to Germany, for sure).

However, Google decided to be stupid in public and made logging in de facto impossible. So… Bitchute exclusive will it be until I get back to the home base. Also, editing takes time which I’d rather spend walking, filming, interviewing and driving around the 2000+ km roadtrip inside Moldova. But writing some thoughts very late in the night is more doable.

So with that out of the way, here’s what’s been going on.

First of all, those of the opinion that the European Union is Satanic might have a point. I’m only half joking. Of course, Satan probably doesn’t exist and the EU bureaucrats are a bunch of loons. However, the EU flag in the Ștefan cel Mare și Sfînt Park in downtown Chișinău is created, roughly speaking, using 12 renditions of the Sigil of Baphomet. And since Moldova is a mini-EU, err… you get the point. Tho we’d argue that Moldova is more like a mini-layout (minimachetuță) of the EU. But that’s a meme for another time.

Being interviewed by Carabinieri in front of the Moldovan Parliament

Secondly, I learned that you still need a loicense to videotape in front of the Moldovan Parliament. I didn’t need one in Germany, Slovenia, “illiberal” Hungary, Ukraine (under state of war), Georgia, Armenia or even Zimbabwe. But Moldova… is different.

I taped a 40-second segment there in order to use in a montage for the English-language channel. But it took over 15 minutes of chit-chats with three different police squads in three different branches in order to be allowed to do the unspeakable act of taping a 40-second report with the Parliament building behind me.

At least now I have the incentive to finish the montage and publish it before the election. And remember: the country is now ruled by a supposedly “liberal” administration that promotes transparency és szar.

The silver lining would be that at least no paperwork had to be done for this, the officers were civilized and one of them even sort-of apologized for the procedure even existing in the first place. Still… having your name broadcasted on an internal Telegram group of the Carabinieri was one of the weirdest encounters with law enforcement I’ve had in a decade.

“Multifunctional center” in Bălți. Notice the Marx, Lenin and Engels on top of the building.

Although Soviet-era displays are (finally) on their way out from the country, you can still spot them from time to time if you pay enough attention.

Now that in itself wouldn’t be such a terrible thing if it hadn’t been for the fact that in this very election one of the factions running hadn’t been the Communists (red star and hammer and sickle and the whole 9-yards) with good chances of winning.

Campaign tent of the Electoral Block of the Communists and Socialists. Chișinău, July 1, 2021.

If Moldovans had been spending at least half of the energy they spend on terrible politics by focusing on the downtrodden buildings in downtown Chișinău… that would be great. But then again, that would make the whole place a lot less fascinating so… there’s that.

Lada Vaz 2103, Fălești, July 1, 2021.

On a more serious note, the place that keeps on giving leaders of this country, Fălești district, is underwhelming. This district is the hometown of the previous president, of the mayor of Bălți and runner in this election, of multiple ex-ministers and even more political operatives, shills, propagandists and apparatchiks.

Back in Romania, such places (which, for whatever reason, tend to give a disproportionate amount of national leaders or influential people) also benefit from some special attention. I don’t know whether it’s a good thing or not that this isn’t and hasn’t been happening in Moldova. Not my place to judge.

500m from the Parliament, Chișinău

But no, seriously, the amount of downtrodden buildings on a 700m radius from the seat of the Parliament and the seat of the Government is too high.

Perhaps I am wrong, but it stands to reason that things could improve if more attention were given by the city on code enforcement than on who is committing the unspeakable act of videotaping in front of the Parliament.

It is likely that I am wrong, though, because the economic situation of the country is worse than what the official numbers show. I haven’t seen so many central (read: downtown) commercial spaces for rent or outright for sale in Moldova since mid 2000s. The economic crisis is not an academic discussion in Moldova. It’s already here and it’s very rough.

If a political party manages to deliver something, anything on economics in the next 6 to 18 months, that political party will rule this country until 2030.

If I were a betting man, I’d wager that none of them will be able. And things will go south even more. Because fixing the economics of this country is hard work. And ain’t no-one got time fo’ that. There’s bread and circus to be delivered.

This is Chișinău on July 2:

Across the street there was a huge screen for people to watch EURO2021. People here support Ukraine. And, to a lesser extent, Czechia and Italy. At least that’s perfectly understandable. Because Ukraine, Czechia and Italy are understandable to Moldovans. Denmark or England? Not so much.

In any event – the show must go on. And it will. Even if on an emptier stomach.

7 reasons the 2010s were great

Technically speaking, the 2010s started on January 1, 2011 and ended on December 31, 2020. We’re now in the early days of the ’20s.

Two years ago I was urging people to think with the power of the century or at the very least with the power of the decade – as opposed to merely here and now or, at best, till the next elections.

So in that spirit, let us now look at what the 2010s meant – specifically by comparing the early days of 2011 with the present-day. It is strongly advisable for everyone to engage in such exercise from time to time because being caught in the various controversies and quibbles of the day risks putting one in the situation of not seeing the forest for the trees.

Zooming out a little bit from time to time is healthy.

1. Obama

In early 2010s the doomers and blackpillers (just as useless then as they are now) were ‘predicting’ that Hussein the Antichrist would send the ATF door to door to seize all weapons.

That doomsday narrative was a bit harder to promote because it was so unbelievably haram to criticize Obama to begin with. The very notion of criticizing Obama was unthinkable unless you were a “loon” which, of course, only the “far-Right” was.

Oh, and the Affordable Care Act (”Obamacare”) was due to be forever and usher in perpetual socialism. Remember that?

Fast forward to present day and one of the few things all Americans agree with is that it’s a good thing to have a gun. Former anti-gun leftists suddenly queued for hours to get their own piece in the last part of the decade. The idea of ATF rounding up guns from civilians in door-to-door raids comes off as even more laughable today than it already was at the beginning of the decade.

Obamacare is, for all intends and purposes, gone. It was barely in force for 3 years overall. With multiple exceptions and basically anyone who didn’t want to partake in the experiment had a way to avoid it.

As for the Antichrist? Well…. the Antichrist did come – but for the Left, in the person of the now outgoing President Trump.

Oh, and criticizing Obama is pretty mainstream even on the center-Left. What was unimaginable in 2010 became mainstream by the end of the decade.

2. The European Union

Euroskepticism had been a thing since early 1990s but it only started being visible in mid 2000s.

In June 2008 the Irish people rejected the Lisbon Treaty at the ballot box and it seemed that euroskepticism might have a shot. But then, following backroom machinations by Jose Manuel Barroso and corrupt Irish politicians, the Irish people were asked to vote again in October 2009. The second time it passed.

Then came the January 2012 Croatian referendum which was due to decide whether Croatia joins the EU or not. The referendum passed with over 65% ”yes” – but in a campaign in which the “NO” side was effectively forbidden.

The Croatian people were basically not allowed to hear the case for “NO”. Euroskeptics were hunted on social media (yes, reporting one into oblivion was a thing in 2011 too), arrested when they organized for rallies in the streets, denied TV appearances and demonized intentionally until they lost parliamentary representation before the campaign for the referendum.

So the idea of stopping or reversing the expansion of the EU looked impossible in the early days of the 2010s.

Yet… in the second half of the decade… the tides turned. Brexit happened, enlargement was put on hold and even the most optimistic eurofanatics are now compelled to contemplate that more exits from the EU may happen – with the Netherlands, Sweden and Poland being quite decent candidates.

Ireland and Croatia showed how low is the EU willing to stoop in order to expand its power. But Great Britain also showed what is possible when non-leftists are willing to think with the power of the decade and be a bit more resilient to the disdainful bullshit put out by the agents of totalitarianism in order to scare the normies into voting for less freedom.

3. Islam

At the beginning of the decade, any discussion about Islam as a problem in Europe in particular and in the West in general was essentially non-existent. Only very dubious places on the Internet discussed.

In 2012 the Israeli journalist and filmmaker Zvi Yehezkeli makes the first serious documentary about the Islam problem in Europe. Still, outside Israel, the documentary only receives attention from the ‘far-Right’ and ‘loonies’ like me. While the documentary wasn’t outright censored, it also didn’t get much mainstream attention as the bien pensants characterized it as “hysterical”.

The topic remained on the fringes of the political debate even though more and more Europeans were suffering at the hands of Islamists in their own cities and countries. Nobody seemed to care. Then came the 2015 terrorist attack on Charlie Hebdo. Then Bataclan. Then numerous other Islamist attacks in Europe. More populist parties and politicians started having electoral success but even with the effects of the 2015 migrant crisis – the discussion was still frustrated.

Then in 2020 outright mockery of Islamism became the norm in the public square. Politicians and cultural figures who in 2012 or even 2016 were turning up their noses at any discussion about Islam as a problem were now attending marches with slogans and displays that were only the purview of the ‘extreme Right’ at the beginning of the decade.

There’s still a long way to go – but politics is downstream from culture. The topic of Islam as a problem has gone through almost all stages in the Overton window – from unimaginable, to marginal, to the purview of the undesirables (dare I say deplorables?) and all the way to mainstream and even policy in some areas.

In January 2011 it would’ve been unimaginable to introduce a system that would regulate mosques and put intelligence filters on imams – measures explicitly meant to privilege Western norms over the opinions of the looniest Islamists in the world. Such thing would’ve been ‘islamophobia’ in 2012-13 or even ‘racism’ in ’15-’16. By 2020 it became normal sensible, centrist position for the bien pensants du jour.

And all of you out there who have worked for this in the last decade – especially those in the early part of the decade – you have a merit in this too. By making criticism of Islam acceptable, you have paved the way to curbing this lunacy.

Now, in the early days of the 2020s, even in the Middle East there’s wind of curbing Islamism in ways simply unimaginable in the region merely 10 years ago.

4. Feminism/Sexual politics

The 2010s started just like the previous 6 or 7 decades had started – with the topic of ‘sexual politics’ locked into the same paradigm that’s been harming both men and women to the benefit of an increasingly lunatic academic class as well as politicians and, yes, businesses.

Although some seeds of dissent were already visible since the 2000s, such as this academic paper on how Feminism is kinda terrible, even those were very far away from the paradigm that was due to become the absolute norm in the next decade.

While in 2010, 2011 or 2012 the discussion was to the tone of “well, there are some bad aspects of feminism but…” – by the end of the decade even otherwise leftish, feminist-friendly and bien pensant spaces had to at least semi-seriously discuss whether feminism might indeed be cancer.

By 2020, feminists were on the defensive. Now articles like this one where you’re told that feminism is akchually not as bad as “you are made to believe” are quite common. The phrase “you are made to believe” is an acknowledgment of the consistent win on narrative by non-feminists.

In 2011 I was saying in podcasts that it may take over a decade until we get to see some mainstream defense of proper liberalism and meritocracy over universal concern of women. Yet by 2018 even The Guardian was thoroughly defending Jordan Peterson for saying that the feminist claims about “equal pay” may indeed be bullshit (and they are).

Articles like this one where feminist ideologues are scared shitless over the fact that more and more women explicitly and resoundingly reject feminism have become increasingly common towards the latter part of the 2010s. In 2011-12 it was an oddity to read (let alone meet!) an anti-feminist woman. Today it’s the New Normal 😀

Of course, there is still a long way to go. But in just one decade non-feminists advanced more than they had advanced in the previous 7 for sure. I already explained in this video what’s in the bag for this decade.

At best, only the youngest readers of this article will be alive to witness the end of this narrative curve on sexual politics. Nevertheless, this last decade was great for this particular subtopic.

5. Environmentalism

Environmentalism had been turning into eco-Marxism for quite some time and the 2010s didn’t seem to be any different.

While in 1992 the world had witnessed Severn Cullis-Suzuki in a well-executed photo-op of the prophet-child of doomsday in the Environmentalist cult, the 2010s gave us Greta Thunberg.

And it seemed like it was all the same. Yet another decade full of eco-Marxist propaganda that plebs swallow via paid shills as well as extremist loons impervious to reason.

But then director Jeff Gibbs using Michael Moore’s infrastructure produced the best piece of anti-eco-Marxist agitprop to date – Planet of the Humans.

Of course, given that it’s Michael Moore, it wasn’t exactly easy to dismiss it as ‘far-Right propaganda’ so Environmentalism Inc. used an extremist interpretation of copyright law to slow down the propagation of the movie. Too little, too late.

The Wuhan Flu also helped (since leftists were more scared of it anyway thus had more time to look into the situation) and, as a result, Michael Moore’s documentary looking into the corruption of the environmentalist movement has wrecked havoc among the radicals of the movement since the piece offered both a rational critique of the “green” practices and an ideological one (coming from the Left).

With many of its radicals dissatisfied, the green movement’s future into the 2020s looks a lot less bright than it was looking prior to the Planet of the Humans. No amount of shekels from the World Economic Forum and no Great Reset can really reset all the green radicals who’ve been demoralized and/or deradicalized by one of the best executed propaganda pieces that I’ve seen in the last decade.

6. China (People’s Republic)

At the beginning of the decade, the topic of China as an issue was basically non-existent. A report here and there once a decade – usually by a conservative think tank – were the only blips on the radar of any serious discussion on the topic.

In 2012 the BBC was somewhat nervously but overall joyfully reporting on the rise of Chinese influence but… that’s about it. No matter what date filters or what search engine one uses, there’s almost nothing in the mainstream about China as an issue between 2009 and 2014. Once a year we would read about how Chinese youth finds the West attractive or some derision of some blogger in China (in 2014). While the New York Times was laughing, that blogger became one of the top-tier propaganda operatives of the CCP – personally invited by Xi Jinping to shape the internal narrative about the West. Almost nobody saw that except a few scholars and political operatives who just a year later started working on what was to be known as…. President Trump.

I don’t care what your opinion about President Trump is. The fact is that candidate Trump and then President Trump forced everyone to get woke on the China question.

While in 2012 it was “curious” or even “cute” to see Chinese script on London’s double deckers, by late 2015 and early 2016, candidate Trump made everyone take a look at the big, red and aggressive elephant in the room.

In August 2015 the Cathedral was still laughing and publishing montages like this one inferring that then-candidate Trump has some unhealthy obsession with China. After China’s global lockdown propaganda in 2020, however, nobody is laughing.

Now even the BBC has Trump’s “obsession” with China, publishing weekly very astute inquiries about China’s propaganda apparatus. This is all good.

The first step towards dealing with a problem is acknowledging there is one. Ronald Reagan acknowledged the Evil Empire. Donald Trump acknowledged the China problem. Hopefully our civilization will win this Cold War as well.

7. National-conservatism

The 2010s also gave rise to a new way of politics (of course, with old ideas because there is no such thing as new ideas).

In 2010 it was still very haram to be nationalistic and especially to be nationalistic while at the same time supporting economic freedom. LOLbertarians would reject that and the Establishment didn’t like the nationalism part.

However, slowly, but surely, as the decade progressed (sic!) national-conservatism grew in prominence no matter what the Establishment threw at it. And, boy did they throw everything at it.

Billions of dollars (literally) were spent just to stop or at least slow down the rise of national-conservatism in Poland, Brazil, Germany, Italy, Hungary, Sweden (to a certain extent), the United Kingdom, Austria, Spain or India.

As I’m writing this, many are still upset, angry or even demoralized by the situation in the United States – and those are of course the people who have come to politics with the Trump Train.

However, this particular variant of conservatism did not start with Donald Trump nor will it end with the outgoing President of the United States. Just today, Politico Magazine is noting (absolutely correctly) that European Trumpism won’t end with Trump. Well, they call it ‘trumpism’ because they want clicks for their website – but in the article they do acknowledge that this way of doing politics predates Trump and will for sure continue after Trump’s term.

And this way of doing conservatism (whether you call it populism, national-conservatism or whatever) is a product of the 2010s that has already passed the test of time in several places and it is to be expected to endure in many others throughout the 2020s.

The biggest advantage of this way is that it finally brought in younger people. In 2010-11, the average age of a participant at a conservative event was around deceased. In my country there was even a running joke that the youth wing of conservatives has a median age of 60 and a 50 year old is a young talent or a young prospect. The 2010s changed all of that and turned things around!

Now you have deeply conservative parties which are majority young. Leftist establishmentarians are routinely stunned by how young these new conservative startups skew. Vox in Spain for instance wastes no time in successfully targeting teenagers (just like the far-Left used to do, btw).

In fact, allover Europe populists/national-conservatives skew very young both in terms of leading candidates and voters. This, of course, makes sense. The “boomers” are the 1968-ers now and subsequent establishmentarians (almost all leaning heavily Left – be it classical Marxist Left or modernist/globohomo Left).

Still, none of that would’ve been possible if not for the tireless work of so many networks allover the world bringing conservative/non-Leftist wisdom to the young – eschewing the State indoctrination facilities public schools and the subversion thereof.

Looking into the roaring 20s

The previous decade started in a low note. Almost all of the topics covered in this article were either outright unimaginable or almost in the complete opposite end of development in 2010-11.

For some, this decade starts in a low note as well (though for Freedom Alternative Network it sure does start in a high and optimistic note).

There will be challenges, for sure: the propaganda and economic dispute(s) with China don’t look good now, a weak/distasteful administration is coming at the White House and Big Tech is acting up. But none of that is new either. The previous decade started with a similar crisis too (health + economic), with a distasteful admin in the WH and with Big Tech sucking giant balls as well.

People seem to forget the big censorship scandals of Big Tech from 2010 or 2011. Such as this one. Or this one. Same with banning apps. Everyone seems to forget that Google has been doing this for almost a decade.

What I’m saying is that the ’20s don’t start with challenges unheard of in the recent past. In 2013 it was believed that adblocks will cease to exist because Google censored them. Not only that didn’t happen but the market compelled Google not just to tolerate adblocks, but develop its own too and join the market.

I suspect the same will be the case with the concerns du jour. Yes, Big Tech sucks (as usual) but the pressure is bigger today (in a single day) than in the whole previous decade combined. By the end of this decade things will look radically different and better. You’ll see.

How do I know? Because you can’t stop an idea whose time has come. You can slow it down, surely, but can’t stop it. Just like euroskepticism couldn’t be stopped no matter how many billions of euros were spent on disinformation, bullshit legal cases and outright censorship.

There’s important elections to come this year: in the Netherlands, Bulgaria (both in March), Norway, Germany (both in September) and Czechia in October. Then in 2022 there are important electoral events in France (April), Hungary, Slovenia, Sweden (September), Brazil (October) and, of course, the Midterms in the USA (highly important in November).

It is up to every one of us how the ’20s will look like. But one thing is certain: if we work at least as hard and determined as we’ve been working in the 2010s, there is no reason not to expect to be living through another set of roaring ’20s.

However, if you succumb to the darkest instincts or to demoralization, then you will be doing a great service to the agents of totalitarianism. Should you decide to do so, at the very least stay out of the way of those who want to build upon the successes of the 2010s. While everyone is welcomed to the party, party poopers should be socially distanced 😀

As I’m writing this, I’m wrapping up the preparations for the first interview tour of this decade. Because campaigning never stops. Not if you want to win.

A’ight. That’s it for now. Let’s roll! We got work to do!

The lockdown in Britain is criminal

A simple reason why the lockdown was/is criminal, and why you have great chances to be a victim of it, far greater than being victim of any other social issue of our time.

I just called the local clinic for a medical appointment with the GP(general practitioner doctor). The local clinic appointments, usually, go fast. They can see you in a few days, if it’s not urgent in which case they can see you faster. During the pandemic they were able to see me on the same day because the clinics were empty. Fine.

The problem is when they have to refer you(from your local clinic) to a specialist doctor(at a hospital) for more advanced check-ups. So, I’ve just been told that I now have to wait for a few months, because there are hundreds of people on the waiting list.

Why are hundreds of people on the waiting list? Because hospitals have been closed to everyone except Covid19 patients and those other immediate emergencies(like heart attacks, strokes or accidents).

In normal times, you wouldn’t get hundreds of people on the waiting list. There are only a few people(10, 20, 30 maybe), and your turn comes in about 2-3 weeks, maximum. But now, it’s a chaos.

Imagine all those hundreds of people who had to wait because the hospitals were all in lockdown, but only at 10% capacity(while doctors and nurses were doing Tik Tok videos). Now, there are tens of thousands of people whose health situation has aggravated in the 4 months of lockdown, many of whom have already died.

Fine, I said, I’ll go private. I asked my local GP to write me a letter so I can go to a private hospital.

Surprise, surprise. All private hospitals are closed to the general public, and they only receive Covid patients which never arrived because even the state hospitals were at 10% capacity. So, the private hospitals were forced to stay closed (on a government “crisis” order) all this period because they were hoping the public hospitals would get full of Covid patients and then send the extra Covid patients to those private hospitals. That never happened.

And that’s how 90% of hospitals(both public and private) stay empty during the lockdown while people are dying to get an appointment for any check-up or surgery or treatment or anything else.

So, there are 40.000 dead people of Covid19 in the #UK. I’m not even getting into how correct these numbers are.

But what you don’t know is that the government is also tracking the collateral deaths, the excess deaths caused by the lockdown: people who couldn’t get their cancer screenings, diabetes tests, surgeries, heart attacks, strokes, and what not.

So, the government stats counted 45.000 collateral deaths. That’s more than Covid deaths!! These are people who could have been saved from treatable conditions. But they were not given health care because doctors were fearing that they would get infected with Covid19, so they refused to even see those patients. Many patients died anyway.

More surprising, nobody seems outraged at these 45.000 deaths, clear evidence, government’s own data. The media is silent. Private activists are silent too, probably stupidly oblivious. Even the families of those 45k dead people are silent, probably, in disdain and surrender. I think I’m the only outraged one.

On top of this, Cancer Research UK, estimates that the cancer deaths will increase by 20.000 as well, at least, by the end of this year due to the fact that many people were not able to detect their cancer in due time.

Luckily, I’m all good, but I’m thinking of all the people who are not as lucky or as young and healthy as I am. Pray to God you won’t end up in a situation like this in which you’ll be at the mercy of bureaucrats.

On top of that, we have thousands of people protesting in the streets like there’s no tomorrow, prolonging this Covid crisis and lockdown for tens of thousands of ill people who truly need care.

But you don’t see this on TV. And I bet you didn’t know about the collateral deaths. And just because you’re in a different country with lower Covid deaths, it doesn’t mean you haven’t got loads of collateral deaths (most countries don’t even count the collateral deaths). But you have no idea about this. You’re only outraged at what the media wants you to be outraged: the topic of the day.

We have to fucking decide: do we keep the lockdown and disband all those protesters, or do we stop the lockdown and get back to our normal lives (including protests, which I’d be fine with otherwise).
Why the fuck are we staying in limbo like this?

How much do black lives matter?

Do Black lives really matter for the hysterical agitprop organizations who now pretend to be outraged over the death of the career criminal George Floyd?

Thousands of Black Christians are killed annually in Africa by Islamic terrorist organizations. Has anyone taken this issue to the streets? Any protests in Europe or North America against the savages that put out this gruesome spectacle of murder year after year? We could indeed say that quite the opposite is the case as many of those savages were then welcomed into Europe.

The most recent genocide in history took place in Rwanda in 1994. Just three weeks ago Félicien Kabuga – one of those who planned and led the Rwandan Genocide was finally apprehended in Paris. The genocide was planned by Black Africans, executed by Black Africans. Hutus killing the Tutsis. The Left was silent then and is silent now too. The news about the arrest of one of those responsible didn’t make the headlines.

In many parts of Africa slavery is still a thing today. People are still being sold in markets in Nigeria and Libya yet nobody protests against such a horrific practice. Wealthy Arabs in the Persian Gulf still own slaves today but, once again, none of the organizations that are now claiming to fight for “Black liberation” have anything to say about this. It could be because the slave-owning Qataris actually pay for some of these protests.

In the minds of the people protesting – it’s African Americans (all 37+ million of them) that are suffering the worst – but not those Africans who are being held in slavery by those who fund the protests.

Genital mutilation of both boys and girls is still being practiced on a large scale in Africa. The victims are, of course, black girls and boys.

Random boys are being kidnapped on the streets of Uganda, Kenya or the Republic of South Africa and forcibly subjected to genital mutilation. Many of them end up dead as a result of the procedure which the “international community” and the “tolerant left” ignore or even approve.

Girls at least get some attention. Articles and reports from international organizations have been published about the gruesome terror to which girls are being subjected via genital mutilation – yet, despite some slightly more attention, there is not much fighting against this cruelty.

Then there’s Boko Haram which kidnaps girls and kills boys. At least for the girls there was, at some point, a cute hashtag – #BringBackOurGirls. Then FLOTUS Michelle Obama made a cute photo-op with it. And? Well, and nothing. The thousands of Black Lives destroyed by Boko Haram did not animate any mass protest – neither in Europe nor in the United States.

Now, that’s okay. One is entitled not to care. But don’t come around then and tell us how much Black Lives Matter for you from Sweden, or Norway, or Bulgaria. They don’t. Because the purpose of the Black Lives Matter brouhaha is not the protection of Black Lives. And likely never has been.

The list of horrors inflicted upon black people in Africa at the behest of Islam or Socialism long after the end of colonialism is very long – yet it’s clearly not of interest for those who claim Black Lives Matter. And that’s because it’s not about black lives – it’s about the destruction of America and all that she stands for. Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness is what’s bothering most of y’all. Black Lives is just the excuse du jour.

Yeah, yeah, I know – you claim “intersectional solidarity” and that you want to destroy “capitalism” – but we all know that’s bollocks.

So, can we please cut the crap? K? Thanks.

Article inspired by a post from Father Coman.

Corona economy: The great V-illusion

Despite Corona – everything remains as it is? The Federal Government is busily trying to keep this illusion alive with triple-digit billions. But this social autosuggestion is becoming more and more fragile, the consequences more and more threatening.

The letter V stands for Maybe, Probably. Mistakes are unavoidable, admits health minister Jens Spahn frankly, and that is an admission that is rarely honest for politicians in Germany. “That we will probably have to forgive each other a lot in a few months, […] because never before in the history of the Federal Republic – and perhaps even beyond – have we had to make such far-reaching decisions in such a short time and under such circumstances, with the knowledge that is available and with the imponderables that are there. In fact, knowledge about corona is limited – and also about the consequences of a pandemic and a global shutdown. If you know more, cast the first stone.

In uncertainty one clings to historical experience. For the German government, this is the financial crisis. In 2008, there was a lockdown of the banks that no longer granted credit, became insolvent by the dozen. But without money and credit, the finely ramified network of payment flows collapses. At that time, Germany, the USA and other countries reacted with billions of euros to make the bankrupt banks liquid again.

Germany responded to the threat of unemployment by expanding short-time work and implementing an economic stimulus package – some of the construction sites for the autobahn or the railroad are still open today. The economic crash followed the shape of the V – steep fall, but also rapid rise, which even overcompensated for the slump in growth and, even faster than optimists expected, repaid the national debt via higher tax revenues. With astonishing routine and speed, the federal government activated the plans of that time – and added an additional zero or even several behind the programs.

By April 22 this year, some 718,000 companies, or one in three companies in Germany, had registered for short-time work. Germany thus spends 60% of its total annual economic output on subsidies, as of the end of April. This is a record figure – in terms of economic output, it is five times as much as in the USA; three times as much as Italy or Great Britain spend, more than twice as much as France. The expectation is clear: even if the number of short-time workers is 20 or 30 times higher than during the financial crisis – the recovery will be all the faster once the lockdown is over, if the factories can simply be restarted because the employees are waiting for it. A country is put into an artificial sleep, and the prince’s kiss awakens Sleeping Beauty from her sleep again. That is the theory behind the lockdown.

But what if the prince is delayed, the life-support measures become more and more expensive and last longer and longer, and the kiss does not work immediately? Or economically speaking – when the V becomes the L, i.e. with a prolonged period of weakness after the crash, or even to a stairway down? Then there would be a Spahn mistake – well meant, but done the wrong thing – sorry, economy, pity, society – stupidly done.

Did it go badly?

And it could go pretty badly. The state is currently compensating for the lack of demand – short-time work is being increased even further, bridging money is being paid out, special programmes for hotels and restaurants are being set up, companies like Adidas are being kept alive with 2.5 billion, and Lufthansa is happy to do a little more. The state’s resources are unlimited, promises Finance Minister Olaf Scholz – a bold claim. Hobby economists, for example, from DIE ZEIT, explain that Finance Minister Olaf Scholz does not take away anyone’s funds for short-time work – because taxes are only borrowed, so to speak: If the recipients of short-time work benefits are busy shopping, the business gets going again and in the end everyone wins, including the taxpayers fleeced for it. It is as simple as that.

It is the old Keynesian dream that the state could simply compensate for temporary gaps in demand, supplemented by the “New Monetary Economy”: because the states have long been over-indebted, just as Italy was unable to finance its interest rates even before Corona, the European Central Bank has to pump money into the cycle. Corona is also passing away, the economy only exists if you give it enough money. It really works – if citizens do not become suspicious, do not lose faith in Baron Münchhausen pulling himself out of the swamp by his own hair.

But what if he doesn’t? What if the next consumption frenzy is not only postponed – but cancelled because people do not believe in eternal money from the state? It could be that the Germans are saving because they don’t trust the end of Corona and are preparing for a second wave, at least with savings. If the purchase of the car is simply put off for a long time; cars age hardly functionally, rather aesthetically. When operations are not postponed, but do not take place at all, and the artificial knee is dispensed with, the washing machine is repaired again instead of being replaced, and the move to the larger apartment is postponed for the time being? When the factory is not expanded or renewed, at best expensive labour is rationalised away?

And that is exactly what many companies are planning: Downsize, downsize, rationalize. Jobs are shaky, fear is growing. The IAB, the scientific service of the Federal Employment Agency, is talking about three million unemployed and a drop in the workforce of millions more. So far, all the research institutes have underestimated the force of the downturn – simply because it does not fit into their models, which can only be designed to update the figures but not to break them down. It is more realistic to expect five or even more millions of unemployed people to collect support and become taxpayers and contributors. Or six? Or seven?

How is it going globally after Corona?

The cool calculation and concern of millions of people, economic decision-makers and investors is driven by future expectations; it is speculation about the uncertain future. How long will Corona stay, not only in Germany, but also around it? When the future seems vague and uncertain, people wait instead of consuming, reduce instead of invest, reduce instead of build. Then the state can always stuff new billions into pockets, it stays in there. Technically speaking, this reduces the speed at which money circulates. There is more money, but it doesn’t circulate – the economy falters. And the future of demand seems uncertain: Why should entrepreneurs invest and perhaps be liable with the remainder of their private assets when the SPD is constantly talking about tax increases, asset levies and redistribution? The phrase “let’s wait and see” then becomes an economic killer, triggered by slogans thrown down by people like Saskia Esken, the SPD chairwoman. Maybe it may be possible to get things going again in Germany – but are German taxes enough to keep the concrete castles on the Costa Brava or in Mallorca and Greece going? If there is any doubt that economic stimulus packages can save the domestic economy – they certainly won’t be enough for the whole of Europe.

Germany’s export orientation is now the Achilles’ heel of the economy – it lives from investment in factories in China, from exports to southern Europe, which are paid for with the money that German holidaymakers leave on sunny beaches. The worldwide falling oil price is a warning signal: oil lubricates the economy, is a raw material that is in every product, in the potato in the form of fertilizer and tractor fuel, in every chemical product, in every form of mobility. Worldwide, the demand for oil is falling because the demand for products has collapsed. It is a crisis indicator of a deflationary process.

Deflation means that prices are falling. This makes life pleasant for the consumer, but hell for the producers: Who wants to invest and produce when the selling price is constantly falling – in the case of oil on the futures markets, even becoming negative? The economists of the European Central Bank fear deflation far more than inflation. That is why zero and negative interest rates have been introduced, an inflation target of two per cent has been set and this is being pursued with all permitted and unpermitted means of monetary policy, just not to get deflation going. If prices fall, the economy will freeze: it will be worth bunkering money instead of spending or even investing.

But that is exactly where the global economy stands: falling demand worldwide causes prices to fall. This mechanism works quickly: the prices for real estate in the German conurbations are already falling. Are there fewer people in Germany? No. It’s just that many dreams of bigger living spaces have been shattered. Or postponed. If the department stores are only allowed to open again, then there will be discount battles – the summer goods will be squandered until they are given away, because otherwise there will definitely not be another summer for the dealers. Many will open one last time, for the last sale. A wave of bankruptcies in the already ailing retail trade in the city centres is threatening – Amazon was the pre-existing illness, Corona the death sentence.

The caution of consumers and the pessimistic expectations of entrepreneurs combine to form a poisonous mixture that renders any economic stimulus program of the federal government ineffective. The phrase “not at first” absorbs every economic stimulus program and makes it ineffective.

The supply shock is yet to come

Allegedly the German showpiece industry, the car manufacturers, are trying to increase production again. Instead of short-time work benefits, the state is then supposed to artificially heat up the demand for cars; the use of state money therefore continues without end for the time being. But that will not be so easy. A German car company has about 100,000 suppliers worldwide. Some of them no longer exist. A chip, a plastic part, a piece of sheet metal, steel or fabric is missing, because the supplier is possibly located in Italy or Spain and cannot yet produce, the truck is stopped at a border, the delivery from China takes too long, or the manufacturer has long since gone bankrupt.

Even in the Chinese birthplace of the pandemic, Wuhan, the factories are being restarted – but there is no demand from Europe or the USA. Technically, they may be able to produce – but nobody orders them. How do Daimler and VW plan to sell cars in, say, Minnesota or Michigan, if the showrooms are nailed up and the dealers are broke? How will they build engines if the crankshaft does not arrive from Spain? Just in time production, offshoring, squeezing every last cent out of the supply chain and specializing in the smallest detail – the recipes for success of the past decades are just poison pills.

It’s downright macabre: Hans-Werner Sinn has called this “bazaar economy” – Germany buys cheap preliminary products worldwide, plugs them up and sells them at a premium as “Made in Germany”. The model is now ailing. And yes, the backsourcing of strategic goods such as mouthguards and medicines may be right, automotive suppliers can be replaced – but someone has to pay for that. Who pays is the consumers. Not all prices will fall as a result. Some will rise.

Deflation and inflation simultaneously

Vegetables are already becoming more expensive; peppers up to 40 percent; asparagus is becoming a luxury again. There is a lack of harvest workers from Morocco in Spain and from Romania in Germany. Those who are not there to harvest are also absent when planting. Goods whose purchase cannot be postponed without problems become more expensive. There are also opportunities. If Majorca as a holiday destination – it is also cooler, the Baltic seaside resorts should soon be crowded, if they are allowed. Ruhpolding will experience guests from the Ruhr area, who have stayed away since the late 60s. Even the shanty towns on the Rhine, Bingen and Rüdesheim and Unkel will be frequented again; perhaps even the Harz Mountains and perhaps Traben-Trarbach will experience a short, second spring like the Emperor’s Bath in Ems before 1914. Today, it attracts visitors to places they did not want to go for a long time. Inflationary and deflationary processes run side by side. But because the supply is gradually narrowing, prices start to rise earlier rather than later.

A ghost is haunting: Stagflation

And because the V thus becomes the L, sooner rather than later Germany’s rescue formula will also be in crisis: the SPD would like to raise taxes and will probably push it through – but there are hardly any high incomes and payers left who could be fleeced. Wealth tax? The secret tip of the left and the Greens is leeward.

Article written by German journalist and chairman of the Ludwig Erhard Foundation, Roland Tichy.
Original version, in German at: