Usually the narratives depict anything as an Israeli/Jewish conspiracy. But whose conspiracy Israel itself is? The official story talks about the mandate, the Balfour Declaration and various boring UN documents. But before all of that, there was a conspiracy, which occurred in… Romania. Specifically in places like Focșani, Iași, Cernăuți (now in Ukraine) and Chișinău.
Let’s go down the memory lane through a lesser known series of events that point to Israel’s Romanian roots.
First World Zionist Congress – Focșani 1881
Some 16 years prior to Theodor Herzl’s congress in Basel, delegates representing about 70,000 Jews from 33 places in Romania’s old kingdom, convened in Focșani and decided and managed to organize the first group of more than 200 emigrants to the Holy Land.
It was at this congress where Hatikvah was first sung.
This was happening in the closing days of 1881. No, seriously!
The venue was the Jewish Boys’ School in Focsani, built by banker Wilhelm Schleir who paid for everything from the construction itself to chalk and blackboards. The designer of the building was Ion Alexandru Davidescu, who designed most of the cute buildings that can still be admired today in Iași, Galați and Focșani.
Sadly, this particular building was demolished by the communists and replaced with a Brutalist/Soviet-style school which today serves as School number 9.
The Anthem of Israel is Romanian
Hatikvah, which today serves as Israel’s national anthem, is based on a Romanian folklore melody called Cucuruz cu frunza-n sus. Moreover, the lyrics were also written in Iași in preparation for the Zionist congress mentioned prior.
The author of the lyrics, Naftali Hertz Imber, remained in Iași for several years after fleeing Galicia in 1876 and was among those 200 who performed aliyah just a few weeks after the Focșani congress.
The final version of Hatikvah as we know it today, credited to Samuel Cohen, also happened in Iași and Mr. Cohen used as guidance a Romanian folklore book collected by Guilelm Șorban (1876-1923), a Jewish-Romanian composer with a Bohemian lifestyle.
We know all of these from his son, Raoul Șorban (1912-2006) who was a longtime art critic, painter, historian and memoirist. Yours truly had the privilege of knowing him in person in 2004.
Online you can find plenty of information about the 1908 Yiddish Language Conference (דער קאָנפֿערענץ פֿאָר יודישער שפּראַך) in Chernivtsi/Cernăuți which gave rise to the flourishing of literature written in Yiddish and ultimately to preserving the Yiddish language to this day.
However, there were other three Language conferences held in the 1920s in Cernăuți (then part of Romania) where the debates were less friendly than in 1908. The stakes were high: It was to be decided whether the Eastern European Jewry (which was most of the Jewry at the time) would join the idea of rebuilding the Hebrew language or stay out of it. The audio guide of the museum talks about getting the most stubborn delegates drunk in order for the motion to pass.
If that motion hadn’t passed, modern Israel may have ended up speaking Yiddish or Russian. In a way, that still happened, though.
Romanian language in Israel
Besides Hebrew, Arabic, Yiddish and English, there are two other languages that can frequently be encountered in Israel: Russian and Romanian.
Officially, there are about 100,000 Romanian speakers in Israel, but that figure only counts those who have or have had Romanian citizenship in the past. It does not count the descendants who routinely do speak Romanian as well, usually well-preserved with all of the archaisms that were typical when their (grand)parents left Romania. Former president of Israel, Reuven Rivlin, offered in 2021 the figure of 400,000 Romanian speakers in Israel which, although still under-counting, it’s closer to the truth, for sure.
It’s quite a pleasant surprise (for a language nerd like me) to talk to a 20 year old in 1920s Romanian – including phrasings that would be politically incorrect in present-day Romania – but those people don’t know that because while they’ve learned the language, many of them never visited Romania, let alone live here.
Also, given the consistent (and consistently growing) commercial and political ties between Romania and Israel, there is also a not-negligible number of Israeli citizens who speak some Romanian for these reasons.
Let’s put it this way: the president of the Jerusalem Academy of Music and Dance is born in Târgu Mureș. Her husband is King Bibi’s personal physician and is born in Târgu Lăpuș. Ariel Sharon spoke very good Romanian, having been married not once, but twice with Romanian women (two sisters from Brașov, seriously, look it up). The current minister of defense, Israel Katz, is, legally speaking, eligible for Romanian citizenship (both of his parents were from Maramureș).
Once you look into low-level politicians, there’s even more Romanian connections. The “early life” section of Israeli politicians almost always has either a Ukrainian or a Romanian connection. Which also explains the next one.
Uninterrupted recognition and diplomatic relations
After it turned out that Israel would not be a communist state, the relations between the USSR (and consequently the Warsaw Pact countries) and Israel got colder. And in 1967 the USSR ordered that everyone breaks diplomatic ties with Israel because the Israeli committed the unspeakable atrocity of not losing when all of the Arab world attacked them all at once. Even “worse”, they committed the sin of winning the Six Day War.
The Politburo thought this was absolutely haram and ordered that the Comecon (Warsaw Pact and friends) break diplomatic ties with Israel. And all did,… except Romania. Why would we break economic ties with our conspiracy?
Incidentally, this refusal in itself led to more antisemitic conspiracies in the USSR itself. Which led to more Soviet Jews wanting to leave but who now couldn’t leave because the destination, Israel, was no longer legally recognized by Moscow.
This state of affairs, of having only one communist state in Europe that recognized Israel, led to a de facto situation in which almost all negotiations between Israel and the communist world had to take place in Romania. And they did. This served Ceaușescu’s political goals and magalomania, but also served the diplomatic interests of both Israel and Romania (and still does, to this day).
Today, there is effectively one EU and NATO country that offers some recognition to “Palestine” while also not being at odds with Israel. Specifically, Romania recognizes the PLO as the legitimate representative of the philistines, but not any of their maps. It’s a classic Romanian diplomacy move of attempting to have the cake and eat it too – except in this case it’s been working really well.
There’s a Palestinian Embassy in Bucharest and most of the negotiations with “Palestine” effectively end up taking place in Romania, and in the process strengthening the case that Israel is a Romanian conspiracy since neither the West nor the philistines are happy with this arrangement, while Romania and Israel are okay with it.
Military, intelligence and commerce
The situation described above also allowed for a flourishing commercial and intelligence relationship between Romania and Israel.
Israel get to test a lot of the new toys in Ukraine by making them in Romania, with Romanian contractors. Legally, everyone gets what they want: Ukraine gets its weapons, Romania gets technology and a revived manufacturing industry and military industrial complex, Israel gets to play “neutral” and the Russians get blown up. Oh welp, I guess not everyone gets what they want, but still.
The largest arms exporter in Romania is Elbit, legally a Romanian-Israeli conglomerate, which owns 5 manufacturing facilities in Romania. Getting more accurate statistics is difficult because most Israeli investors do qualify for Romanian citizenship (as explained above) and they usually go for it in order to avoid having to comply with the increasingly onerous and anti-Israeli EU regulations.
In addition to military and intelligence, a lot of shekalim (literally, in this case) go through energy and tourism. It’s hard to explain to those not from around here just how big tourism is between Israel and Romania. There are more flights between Romania and Israel in most weeks than flights between Romania and France.
But no, seriously
While the claim in the headline is obviously tongue-in-cheek, the information provided above is also absolutely true and easily verifiable. And the information above is a big part of the explanation as to why you don’t get Israel obsessed weirdos in Romanian politics. Even the “far right” likes Israel here.
That’s not to say there isn’t legit antisemitism here. But even the local antisemitism is way different than the terminally online westoid version. This may sound like a joke, but in Romania even the antisemites are Zionist. Local antiemites are usually deeply religious and, as such, they do pilgrimage to the Holy Land (as do tens of thousands of Romanians every year) – and they prefer to visit the Holy Land as part of a safe and relatively civilized country, rather than one of the worst iterations of dar al Islam.
And therein lies the rub for the purveyors of anti-Israel narratives: Even the weirdest and most hateful Romanians are still Romanians – which means most will still ultimately prefer pretty much anything to dar al-Islam. The more enlightened of us also prefer our conspiracy to their conspiracy.
Last week Israel celebrated 77 years of existence, which I’m sure it has some spiritual meaning for the 37% of Europeans who affirm in surveys that they believe in numerology. Compared to numerology, Israel being a Romanian conspiracy is a far more reasonable belief. So, with this occasion, the Sofa wishes our conspiracy Israel a long and prosperous life! Maybe with better economics, at some point too 😀
Next time someone brings up Israeli conspiracies, let them know who’s really behind all of this. Naturally, we should share the “fault” with Ukraine and Poland, but that’s a story for another day when we’ll explain how you’re all living in Eastern Europe but you don’t know it yet.
I just finished watching the Grand Final of Eurovision 2025, held in Basel, Switzerland. I can’t write about politics today because the Romanian law says you can’t campaign in the day of the vote. But since Romania did not attend this year’s Eurovision (Mashallah we never do ever again 🙏🏻), I can tell you about how bad Eurovision was, obviously, with no connection to the election going on right now.
So, the “competition” took place in Switzerland because this guy won last year. If you are a normal person, you probably have no idea what that flag is. And that’s a good thing. The trouble is that the European Commission really wants you to know.
Why does this matter? Well, because if you live in a country of Europe, it is very likely that yourtaxpayer money funded this crap.
For decades, this was acceptable because it wasn’t too expensive and it scratched several itches. It kept a part of the culture busy, it allowed for friendly multiculturalism, it provided a good yearly proxy to grok the geopolitical mood of the establishment in each country and, occasionally, gave prominence to either a good song or some comedic or epic moment.
Since 2004, however, with the advent of Youtube, things have started to change while ESC, like any pan-European state bureaucracy, was slow to adapt, to put it mildly.
The model is passée
ESC is organized by something called the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) which unites all of the State broadcasters from Europe, including transcontinental countries like Türkiye, Azerbaijan, russia or Armenia (but not Qazaqstan!) plus three non-European countries – Morocco, Israel and Australia.
All of this may have been a good idea in 1950 when broadcasting was a highly expensive affair, but in 2025 technological change and (geo)politics are slowly, but surely, rendering the model obsolete. And not just when it comes to ESC, but generally, the very idea of EBU is very much passée.
You see, because it’s organized by what is effectively a State organization, the “competition” has to follow a centrally-decided model that is also at the same time compliant with all of the national rules and regulations of TV broadcasting in all of the 57 member countries (or 53, or 54, depending which week we’re talking about). Again, this was possible in 1950, but in 2025 it’s increasingly untenable.
The winner of 2014 ESC. Yes, really.
And since 2014, when the “bearded woman” “won” the “competition” – this became self-evident for more and more people. One by one, countries started withdrawing from this because, again, if it’s State funded then it also means it’s accountable to normal politics and, ultimately, to the taxpayers.
Here’s a nice little table for you:
Country
Last participation
Reasons
Andorra
2009
Financial
Belarus
2019
Political
Bosnia
2016
Political and financial
Bulgaria
2022
Political and financial
Hungary
2019
Political
Monaco
2006
Political and financial
Montenegro
2025
Did not participate in 2022, 2023 and 2024.
Morocco
1980
Political
North Macedonia
2022
Financial
Romania
2023
Political and financial (missed several in the 2010s as well)
russia
2021
Political
Slovakia
2021
Political and financial
Türkiye
2012
Political
As you can see, the list has gotten pretty long in the last 5 years. And it’s very likely next year will be even longer than that.
And it’s not just the agenda driven nonsense (more on that later), but the model itself is now outside reality. Almost every year the most popular song does not win (2025 is the exception). Every single year (no exception at all), the final hierarchy is heavily influenced by nameless and faceless weirdos. And while that fact was well hidden in 2005, it’s impossible to keep it hidden in 2025.
It also doesn’t help that due to technological change, the most popular artists don’t need ESC, thus further deepening the crisis of the model itself. In 2025 it is simply weird to think that a bunch of has-beens from the 1980s (or even older!) can have a reasonable opinion on what is popular and good in terms of music for a diverse continent like Europe in 2025. Ain’t no-one buying that!
Nobody is watching it
All of the above would’ve been excusable if the line went up. Any line, really. The show is not profitable, it has declining audience numbers (even as EBU fudges with the statistics), and it’s increasingly too expensive even for richer countries.
Source: Eurovisionworld
In 2022, 2023 and 2024 it barely cracked 160 million viewers and in 2025 I’d be honestly surprised if it surpasses 150 million viewers. And this is with EBU’s way of counting which effectively adds up all of the viewers “across all ESC content leading up to and over the event weeks”. So, in reality, there’s barely 30 million people that watch this.
Romania not only didn’t attend, but didn’t even broadcast the thing in 2025. So I watched it on Youtube. At the peak there were 1.4 million people watching live. That’s slightly more than the total number of people watching a Turkish TV show last night just in Romania alone. The difference being that zero taxpayer money are being spent on that.
Meanwhile, organizing this thing costs around €50 million – and that’s just the contribution of the organizing broadcaster (the host country) and the city hall of the city (Basel in the case of 2025). Add to that the lodging costs of all delegations (paid by each individual member organization – which is also taxpayers’ money), plus the cost of organizing a “national selection” (also taxpayer dough) and you’re climbing really fast to over €100 million in taxpayers’ money for this thing.
Sure, €100 million across 37 countries may not seem much, but €100 million means almost the cost of a brand new stadium, or the operating costs for several big hospitals for a year, or even the construction of a brand new smaller hospital (no, I’m not joking – there’s a public bidding right now for a €70 million contract to build a new hospital from scratch). €100 million is a lot of money given the negative valuethat ESC now offers.
There is no core audience anymore
Until 2019 (at the latest) the core audiences were nostalgic boomers and people tuning in for the cringe. But, in the last 6 years, ESC managed to alienate those as well.
The “no politics” rule means the Israeli competitor doesn’t get to talk about how she survived October 7 by literally hiding under corpses, but that suddenly doesn’t apply to the endless stream of LGBT-ist propaganda. Why? Because in Europe, LGBT-ist propaganda is legally not a political point of view (even though it absolutely is), but “human rights law” (as if “human rights” isn’t in itself a mere opinion like all others).
2024 winner last night
By tradition, the last year’s winner is invited to perform. This is how he showed up. This doesn’t break the “no nudity and sexual innuendo” guidelines, according to EBU. Neither is his celebration of Hamas break the “no politics” rule, apparently.
In an attempt to please everybody, EBU is in fact pleasing nobody and thus sealing the fate of the whole project. And it’s unlikely that this will be turned around under the current constraints.
What can be done
After watching yet another dogshit show, I sincerely believe the Romanian and Hungarian strategy is the best for all countries: Cite financial reasons and get the fuck out of this shitshow.
It’s not salvageable. The institutional resistance to reform is too great and no coherent argument is going to persuade them. We tried. The very idea of getting private partners on board and improve the management and the finances was received with shock and horror by the BBC, the Swiss broadcaster, France Médias Monde or TVE – and these guys’ opinion matters the most. I say: “Fine. Have at it and leave us alone.”
If the westoids don’t want to fix this money sink, then let them pay for it without the rest of us.
The most likely countries where you can have some success in the following years, politically speaking, to get them out are: The United Kingdom (if Reform wins), Poland, France (if Bardella wins), Italy (traditionally Italy stayed out more than it stayed in – so it’s worth a shot again), the ex-Yugoslav countries (especially Croatia after it was done to them in 2024), Cyprus (for financial reasons) and Albania (for their constant mistreatment over the last decade because they’re never gay).
Meanwhile, those in countries like Slovakia, Romania, Hungary or Bulgaria should continue to hold the line.
This beast needs to be starved. And again, since funding it is a politicaldecision, don’t be shy to use hardline politics to push for its defunding.
Heck, I’m thinking we should get some MEPs on this as well.
If we’re paying for this, we want to have a say in how it’s run. It really is that simple.
Ideally, we take over it and turn it into a festival for the Europe of nations. But, in order for that to happen, the current crop of management has to go. And the fastest way to do that is to defund it, country by country.
You may not think this is important enough to be worth the energy, but please do keep in mind that ILGA-Europe (the main pusher of LGBT-ism in Europe) has a budget of just €5m/year these days. Down from tripple-digits a decade ago. They themselves are complaining.
LGBT-ism exists as long as there’s funding for it. Eurovision is just one giant LGBT-ist operation at this point. A €100m/year operation, to be more precise. Taking it down (or taking it over, if possible) would be a huge win for subsidiary purposes. The cultural relevance of Eurovision is gone, but the resources it still redistributes to LGBT causes are still immense and continue to have negative consequences on our cultures and our societies. And if you don’t control those resources, then by definition the enemy does.
Call your MP. See who you know inside the public broadcaster. You’d be surprised how easy it can be in most countries to gather the critical institutional support for a reduction or withdrawal from this shitshow.
Let the lefties fund it with their own dough if they want to continue this. Get your tax shekalim out of this mess!
And if you’re in Poland or Romania, please do think about this today as you head out for a vote 🙂
One piece of news some of you might have missed is that Romania is now officially a hybrid regime. Not as bad as russia (yet) but as bad as Bosnia, Armenia, Georgia, Türkiye, Ukraine, Tunisia or Morocco.
This update from The Economist surprised absolutely nobody here. Even the Regime shills aren’t trying too hard to disprove it and instead resort to attacking The Economist itself because they list Hungary as better. Now, to be fair, that’s a good point as our Magyar neighbors are also running a hybrid regime. But that doesn’t change the fact that Romania is a hybrid regime which is categorized as having a combination of autocratic features with democratic ones and can simultaneously hold political repressions and regular elections.
So it’s on this backdrop that the last night’s announcement came on the candidacy of Călin Georgescu having been rejected. Sure, everyone on the real and fake dissident side pretends it’s shocked. It brings great social media clicks and sweet Twitter/X dollars.
The case
On legality, the procedure is as follows: One files for candidacy with the electoral central bureau (BEC – Biroul Electoral Central) and BEC evaluates if the procedure was accomplished (have the correct signatures, have the correct general paperwork and be eligible to run). These are the grounds on which BEC can reject a candidacy.
In the case of Georgescu, they relied on the latter – eligibility to run, effectively motivating that since the Constitutional Court annulled the whole process in December 2024 due to Georgescu’s irregularities and positions and ordered a rerun from the very beginning (new signatures, new campaign, new everything) then it follows that Georgescu’s candidacy runs the risk of a new annulment. You can read the whole thing here but the most important part is this:
As such, by annulling the electoral process and ordering the entire procedure be repeated (including filing candidacies) as a result of this candidate’s conduit of not observing the regulations concerning the electoral procedure essential for a democracy and the rule of law, the Constitutional Court has also implicitly laid out the generally mandatory framework with regards to what are the legal conditions for filing a candidacy by Georgescu Călin, and would thus be inadmissible that the resuming of the same electoral process to now suddenly be eligible to run for President.
It’s a convoluted phrasing but it basically means: “We cancelled the election because of this guy so of course he’s ineligible for the rerun too.”
Strictly procedurally speaking, he can file an appeal to the decision but that appeal can only be filed at the Constitutional Court. That’d be the same Constitutional Court that annulled the election. So the likelihood of the Court having a change of heart is really, really, really low.
This is also due to a specific provision in the Constitution which specifies that the process for electing the President is explicitly subjected to censure onlyby the Constitutional Court. It’s why these kinds of shenanigans are unheard of in the general/legislative elections or the local elections – where censure is done by proper courts with a much higher standard of evidence.
To be fair to the Regime, this motivation, albeit crazy, is less crazy than the initial one – which was that some paperwork was not properly signed and some bureaucratic gobbledygook.
But then again: we all expected this. And, in many ways, it is in fact better that it happened last night rather than on March the 19th (which is the latest when the Constitutional Court can have opinions before we move to actual campaigning and printing the ballots).
Why it’s better now? Because there’s another deadline: March 15th, 11:59PM Eastern European Time (GMT+2). That’s the deadline until anyone can file for candidacy. Now that we know Georgescu is out, it leaves several options open (more on that soon).
Reactions
Of course, each according to his interest, had their reactions. The crypto scammer and Elon Musk’s pool boy, Mario Nawfal, was by far the most active in promoting the outrage. Of course, he has to since he got a decent amount of shekalim to shill for Georgescu.
Meanwhile, the Regime even pushed its own ministers (Sebastian Burduja is the minister of energy) to try to get is side of the story out – albeit with limited success. It doesn’t help when you unironically write that it is democratic to cancel elections.
The deputy prime minister of Italy, Matteo Salvini, called the decision a Soviet-style coup d’etat and argued that before considering ReArming Europe, maybe we should first re-found it to defend democracy.
The reason Matteo Salvini says this is because his party is not a big fan of the military but also because he wants to be noticed by JD Vance. There is also an electoral reason: his political party always polled poorly with Romanians (the largest minority in Italy) even though Romanians who can vote there did pull the lever for Giorgia Meloni (but also for Călin Georgescu as part of the overseas constituency vote).
There were also some skirmishes in the Old Town (where also the HQ of the electoral bureau is located). Nothing too serious, contrary to the claims on X. The most spectacular (and the most well-deserved) part was the overturning of the car from the TV station Digi24. Those fuckers absolutely deserve it by default.
Imagine CNN during Obama but far worse in terms of ass-kissing for the Regime. Nobody is worse than them in shilling for the Regime and even other media people have started to adopt the dissidents’ nicknames for them – like PNL24 or UM Digi0024 (which is a portmanteau between their name and the naming convention for military facilities and it’s meant to emphasize that they’re part of the Mukhābarāt).
Much more interesting (and far more consequential both short term and long term) are the reactions from those who represent the future.
Călin Georgescu should’ve been defeated at the ballot box rather than background plots by PSD and PNL
Older subscribers might remember Claudiu Năsui. Here’s him on the euro currency and cash payments 8 years ago on the Sofa. He remained in the westoid left party (USR) and even served as minister for the economy for a while during the Pandemic Project.
The thing is that he’s not alone in having this reaction. The president of his party, Elena Lasconi, also thinks similarly.
With very few exceptions, everyone with a voice and a modicum of influence that is younger than 50 that is not a fan of Călin Georgescu has also indicated disgust with the decision.
Heck, even the Regime’s candidate, Crin Antonescu (supported by the national liberals, the social democrats, the Hungarian minority’s party and some nominally non-governmental forces) also said he’d prefer Călin Georgescu runs and loses rather than fuel a conspiracy theory in the wider society. But, he said that 4 days ago. At the moment of this writing he hasn’t come out with a reaction. Probably because he’s sleeping (and I’m not even joking – the guy fell asleep on live TV 15 years ago and fell asleep during Parliamentary sessions routinely).
Meanwhile, George Simion (president of AUR/ECR which supports Georgescu) said that those responsible for this decision should be skinned alive in public. I agree with him, though for entirely different reasons. Like the majority of the country, idgaf about Georgescu at all, but purposefully harming bureaucrats generally speaking sounds like a good idea. Though I’m disappointed that nobody suggested the tried-and-tested Romanian method left to us as Tradition from Vlad Dracul III. To be fair, transversal impalement from Hungary also sounds pretty attractive. Okay, gore fantasy moment over.
On a more serious note, whether it takes 3 years or 7, the future does lie with PNL and PSD being replaced by (some version of) USR and AUR. At this point it’s a done deal. Just like it’s a done deal that the Constitutional Court will get reformed long before 2040. In which direction, that remains to be seen, of course.
A few words on the candidate
One thing young(er) people and most of non-systemic voices understand while the Regime doesn’t is that nearly all of the vote and support for Călin Georgescu is not for Călin Georgescu at all.
Slowly, but surely, even Regime inconspicuous shills are admitting this. Partly because they want some of the votes that may be up for grabs but also partly because damage control is the order of the day.
Ultimately though, this is too little and too late. We have a ~40% portion of the populace that thinks the whole system needs a boot in the teeth just because. And that part of the public will vote for anyone that can scare these fuckers. Georgescu scares them. It really is that simple.
Unironic poster by Călin Georgescu (not fan made!)
On the other hand, we have to keep in mind that Georgescu really is a loon. He has a horse fetish – the guy unironically said that the horse industry could reduce unemployment to zero. Please do keep in mind that unemployment is below EU average in Romania and in several industries there is in fact a labor shortage. But such facts are not particularly important for the philosophical space in which the Georgescu campaign is existing.
Ultimately, in addition to being a grifter, this guy is 62 and his formative years as a man were under Communism and his formative years as a politician were in the tumultuous 1990s when unemployment indeed was sky high. Boomers his age routinely do have factually wrong takes on the economy based on impressions that were at least partially true in the early 1990s. All countries have a cohort of people who are simply stuck somewhere in the past, mentally speaking. And Romania is no exception.
But again, that doesn’t explain his crazy electoral numbers and polling. Most of the vote did not (and would not have) come from people who agree with him on much.
This can very easily be observed in every single poll or by simply talking to his (potential) voters on the streets. It’s not hard to find them either.
The media’s frenzy isn’t bought by almost anyone. And of course it isn’t. After you told the plebs they’re putinists if they don’t wear a mask or don’t subject themselves to a highly dangerous medical procedure, expecting them to believe you now that Georgescu is a putinist is madness. It’s the price the establishment is paying for very recent past abuses. And there’s nothing they can really do about that.
Okay, now what?
Well, until March 15th there are several scenarios that can be considered. I will run under the perfectly reasonable assumption that Călin Georgescu will lose the appeal at the Constitutional Court. So:
Călin Georgescu endorses George Simion
Călin Georgescu doesn’t endorse anyone before March 19 and then picks another less known candidate
Călin Georgescu (or his minions) call for a violent uprising and succeeds in getting it
The sovereignists boycott the election
The CIA stages a coup d’etat here
The first scenario is by far the most elegant one and the most likely one too. George Simion already has the signatures raised (although you’ll not find an official from AUR admitting that) and, quite frankly, there is no other realistic candidate that can gather most of Georgescu’s votes.
Sure, the terminally online dissidents as well as the most hardcore Georgescu fans won’t like this and are fuming these days. Buuuut, what Simion would lose from this side would definitely gain on the other side – namely the side that sees Georgescu as a loon but finds Simion perfectly acceptable as a catapult of Molotovs against the Regime.
Also, please do keep in mind that some of the most vocal terminally online dissidents are also anonymous and some of them are in fact paid for by russia. But then again, the same is true for some of the vocal shills of other candidates (in particular Victor Ponta and Nicușor Dan).
Very late in the night yesterday the party’s ideologue came out and warmed the audience on a possible-we-don’t-know-yet candidacy by George Simion. I’m totally surprised (not!) that the rhetoric is basically the same that we gave in a podcast weeks ago – namely that Simion will be asked to make a sacrifice even though he said he won’t run because the Party demands it and the superiour interest of the “sovereignists” are at stake.
Hey, I could still be proven wrong on this one. We’ll see in 5 days.
The second scenario would be more in-character for Călin Georgescu but the problem is that the anonymous candidates so far weren’t lucky in getting their candidacies admitted (insufficient signatures). This hinges on whether Georgescu’s handlers actually want to win at this point or not.
The third scenario is more likely to happen than it’s being given credit right now. Victor Ponta (former prime minister between 2012 and 2015 and a Regime apparatchik prior to that) is running as an independent although he’s an MP for the social democrats. Yes, this is as clownish as it sounds. He’s been trying really hard o paint himself lately as a “sovereignist” but that turned out to be harder than previously thought because, well… it turns out that the electorate isn’t that forgetful. And as prime minister he sucked more than others.
On the other hand, RTV (a TV station that could sometimes make Alex Jones blush) supported both him and Georgescu. So with Georgescu out, that part of the media ecosystem will go full steam ahead for Ponta. Georgescu’s endorsement could get the ball rolling for the (former?) social-democrat.
Context for our friends not familiar with postcommunist history: Victor Ponta and Crin Antonescu were the architects of the 2012 Social-Liberal Union which aimed to amend the constitution and oust President Băsescu. They failed at both, but they got almost a supermajority in the Parliament which didn’t deliver on most of their other promises and tainted the national-liberals for years (which mattered then because until 2020 the national liberals were nowhere near the subhuman scum of the Earth that they are now).
So, in a way, having both Ponta and Crin Antonescu on the ballot this May provides the unique opportunity to flatten both and, with them, the 2012 project and everything they (ever) represent(ed). For now, things are trending in that direction. But if Georgescu endorses Ponta, the feng shui would seriously be altered.
The fourth scenario has already been tried last night. For footage with the skirmishes, see this live text. It failed, for now.
Prediction: It will continue to fail. We will probably see more skirmishes but it’s highly unlikely to see any serious violence. Sure, the LARP-ing on the Internet sounds tough but, realistically, there simply aren’t enough people willing to be injured or die for Călin Georgescu. Most of his (potential) voters would be just fine with switching to Simion and continue to annoy the Regime that way.
The only way this changes is if the next scenario comes to fruition. Then we might see an increased appetite for chimping out. I still don’t think it’ll be a big enough for an effective revolt, but it might get messy. Or at the very least messier than what we’ve seen so far (which, really, by this region’s standards, was entirely peaceful).
The fifth scenario would be bad short term but not a big deal long term.
For the short term, in addition to prolonging a lack of representation for ~40% of the voting public, such a scenario would legitimize voter suppression propaganda just in a time when it was losing its effectiveness.
Long term, however, I doubt it will have any negative effect. Mostly because Simion has a narrower path to victory.
Also, this allows for more time to build and carefully guide the anger into a “too big to rig” victory in the next Parliament. Though, such an approach, would also require more wisdom in the “sovereignist” camp which, we have to admit, is just not there right now.
The sixth scenario is fan fiction. But it’s fun to think about it.
Realistically, it’s also the least likely scenario. Contrary to both legacy and new media panic porn, the Trump administration continued all of the military projects here and this has always been the onlything the Empire ever cared about here.
Where it matters, the new administration in Washington showed no discernible sign of dissatisfaction. As such, the likelihood of any visible intervention is minimal, for the time being.
With that said, if protests turn into revolts, the likelihood of an Empire intervention increases. In which direction, that remains to be seen.
A’ight so… that’s about it. That’d be the shortest summary possible from the frontline of the only hybrid regime in the European Union.
I’m writing this before the results of the German general elections are known. This needs to be mentioned because the tendency these days is to always assume that any argument is made with electoral purposes in mind, or to justify (positively or negatively) the results of an election. That is not the intention here.
Whether AfD gets 51% or 5% in the general election this Sunday, the following lines do apply. This will get lengthy (by today’s low-attention span standards) so grab a cup of coffee.
Alright so, as you might know, the Vice President of the United States of America, His Excellency James David Vance was invited as a keynote speaker at the annual security conference in München six days ago. All of the “good people” expected the same boring speech about russia and China and maybe the 50th reiteration of the standard US plea to European NATO members to increase their defense spending.
For those for whom history started on January 21st, it is necessary to remind everyone that this discussion is not new. George W. Bush, Hussein Obama, Trump 1.0 and Hussein Obama 3.0 the Biden Administration have consistently asked European NATO members to increase their defense spending. This discussion started in 2006 (or 2004, or 2008 – depends on who you ask). It’s been around 20 years (give or take) since this very legitimate demand has been on the agenda. Of course, nothing happened. Au contraire, European NATO members continued to decreasetheir defense spending all throughout this period.
So in 2025, a week ago, Vice President Vance decided to flip the script and, in doing so, unleashing a preference cascade in Europe that will ultimately do a lot of good – even though the transition period is clearly very bumpy. You really should watch the whole speech if you haven’t done so already. It’s just under 20 minutes long.
The reactions to his speech are precisely those that people like me have been waiting (and some of us planning) for about 15 years. It would’ve been great to have this conversation in 2019, rather than in the tumultuous geopolitical context of February 2025 but, ultimately, no moment is perfect and the conversation(s) must happen at all costs, no matter how inconvenient it is for one side or another.
What do we defend? What is “the free world”?
Vice President Vance effectively questioned whether (most of) Europe is still part of the free world. And, in doing so, forced the Pavlovian reaction from the usual suspects who, much to nobody’s surprise, rushed to answer. And the answer is simple: NO.
You may not like the answer, you may think the answer is being misinterpreted or you may be one of those people who think JD Vance is correct but, even so, he shouldn’t have said it or, he should’ve been more polite or just wait for the right context – but none of that changes the reality.
In Europe the peoples are simply not free. And the difference between russia and a worryingly high number of countries of Europe is now negligible. Take Germany and russia for instance. Both:
want Nordstream in defiance of the strategic interest of most of NATO
jail people for political reasons
rig elections both at home and abroad (see Germany’s huge propaganda budget into the medias of countries like Poland and Romania)
lack basic freedoms
have a laughably biased judicial system
instrumentalize mass migration to harm other countries (both targeting Poland the most)
Other than the umlaut, the difference between russia and Germany is hard to assess because there isn’t much. Older people may say there isn’t much left, thus insinuating that once upon a time this was the case. I’m from JD Vance’s generation so I’ll be skeptical of this.
Throughout the entirety of my lifetime Germany has just been the other russia not just when it comes to geopolitics, but general philosophy too. Always out to ban, regulate and control things. Always, without exception, against the liberties and freedoms of my people.
When the Soviet Union did this shit to my people, they were called Sov-Rom which were effectively an exploitation scheme by which russia extracted resources from here for the benefit of russia.
Present-day OMV in Austria in those years was called Sowjetische Mineralölverwaltung (the Soviet Mineral Oil Administration) and it was basically the same thing.
Everyone recognizes today that that was bad. But almost everyone loses their shit when one points out that that’s exactly what Germany is doing right now to almost all of Europe.
Vice President Vance rightly called the members of the EU executive by their proper name: Commissars. And reminded everyone that justifying censorship or cancelling elections by “combating disinformation” is itself a Soviet tactic and even the word disinformation is a Soviet one. That’s when all of the euro-fanatics lost their shit. Because no contemporary commie likes it when you show them the mirror.
The so-called transatlantic link always relied on both economic and ideological common interests. These two pillars meant that sometimes one yield in favor of the other depending on over-arching (geo)political interests. But what happens when both of these pillars are weakened? Because that’s where we are now!
At the introduction of the €uro, the USA and Europe were effectively peers in terms of economics. But it’s been 15 years since Europe has been lagging behind and routinely just straight up going backwards.
So… increasingly fewer common values and increasingly fewer common economic interests. Both of the pillars underpinning the transatlantic link have been weakened. And, overwhelmingly, the fault for this lies with the commissars and the overwhelmingly leftist governments of most of Europe. These facts are inescapable. There is no way around them and that’s what’s driving the eurocrats crazy. They can cry “populism” and “fascism” until they’re blue in the face. They can try to stall via election shenanigans or try to double down on the censorship but, ultimately, the jig is up.
The normative materialism that the managerial class cultivated has come back to bite them. For years, they were able to shove down social concerns (on immigration, free speech, Islam, genderism, etc.) under the excuse that at least the line goes up. Well, tough, now it’s time for the bluff to be called. Not even the line goes up now!
For over a decade (since 2013 in my case) wehave been warning to whoever would listen and could change things that you can’t keep importing the third world, have neighborhoods that run on a parallel and foreign legal system (Sharia), demonize the natives (especially the young men) and pay no (geo)political consequences for this.
The response, from 2013 until December 2024 was always the same: “You’re imagining things. It can’t be that bad. Look, the line goes up. Nobody’s gonna sacrifice their standard of living just to fight transgender propaganda in schools. And, ultimately, what’s so bad about that anyway? Are you some kind of a Nazi?” – or… words to that effect.
In vain I (and people much smarter than me) tried to explain to these loons that this is not how this works. The camel’s back is not endlessly resilient and that it will break, eventually. Whether it takes 5 or 10 years, but it will happen. You can’t go after people’s children and expect no consequences. Well… eventually,… it did happen.
The cat is out of the bag. The paste is out of the tube. Pick your metaphor.
None of this is JD Vance’s fault (or the Americans’ at large). Heck, the Americans have had to hold this fight on their own soil as well, starting even earlier than Europe.
It just so happened that JD Vance’s drop ended up spilling the glass. It could’ve been the Brexit vote. Or the election of Giorgia Meloni. Or the first election of Donald Trump. Or the illiberal, illegitimate, immoral and useless abuses during the Pandemic Project. Or Javier Milei saying roughly the same things last month at the World Economic Forum. Or the wholly illegitimate annulment of the presidential election in Romania (more on that soon). There were multiple moments – large and small – that could’ve spilled the glass. It was bound to happen.
The critical mass is here. And the discussion must take place and it will take place, regardless of whether that’s convenient for you or not.
Now that doesn’t mean that my and most of this esteemed audience’s favorite side of the argument will win, mind you. But it does mean that the suppression of the argument is over. Truly over.
JD Vance happened to be the right man at the right place and at the right time. But then again, that’s how (geo)politics and the great (and not-so-great) deeds of the great men of history tend to happen. It’s a lot of random and chance involved.
Now what?
Well, now it’s time to see who is who. The temptation to enjoy the schadenfreude (now there’s an interesting German word!) is immense. But, the fight is not over. In a way, the struggle so far was to actually start having the fight to begin with.
Until now, the “fight” was mostly by convincing normies one by one and sowing the seeds of doubt. A very important fight, as we can all witness these days, but for over decade it appeared hopeless. Now we know for sure it wasn’t hopeless but we should also know that the war is not over either, even if the tides have truly turned in our favor.
The Enemy is regrouping and trying hard to flood the zone (to borrow a phrase from Steve Banon). In case you haven’t noticed, the media space in Europe is choke full of discussions about Ukraine and as much irrelevant nonsense as possible. As I’m writing these lines, this is the 3rd most prominent news story on Reuters. Water conservation in Greece. Veeeery important topic, I’m sure. All 10 people living in Nafplion definitely appreciate it.
The reason the Enemy is doing this is self-evident: Damage control. You don’t want the plebs orthe chattering class(es) to think too much at JD Vance’s speech, outside of the approved framework of Orange man bad.
The more people think at what JD Vance said, the higher the preference cascade to the disadvantage of the Regime in Europe. So it is therefore preferable (from the Enemy’s perspective) that the plebs talk more about vladimir putin, water conservation in Greece, Coca Cola’s sponsorhisp programs (4th most prominent news story on the frontpage of Reuters when I write this) and really anything except for the fact that the “free world” in Europe is indeed in remission and that the basic liberties of the peoples of Europe are starting to resemble russia a lot more than it’s comfortable for almost everyone to admit.
The more people talk about the contentof JD Vance’s speech, the more people will inevitably see the legitimacy of the question. Which, again, is this: “What exactly are we defending?”
For far too many years we’ve been busy defining the enemy. And that’s important too, don’t get me wrong! But to capture the imagination and the passions of the public, you need a positive vision as well.
In 2014, the positive vision was still (somewhat) evident. But in 2025 it simply isn’t. And no amount of screeching can change that.
If the proposal is to fight for Greta Thunberg (energy poverty), Digital Services Act (technological poverty), GDPR (insanity), Green New Deal (more energy poverty), the Migration Pact (read mass Islamic immigration into East-Europe to relieve Germany) and leadership by illegitimate Germans such as Ursula von der Leyen then, with respect, the only correct answer is this: Go fuck yourselves! Yes, all of you.
It’s hilarious (but also infuriating) to see people like von der Leyen or NGO grifters talk back at JD Vance about democracy when, in reality, Vice President Vance has more votes on his name than the entirety of the EU leadership combined. And the plebs may be ignorant and routinely foolish, but they’re not all retarded.
You are not going to capture the imagination (least of all the admiration) of the people you spent 12-13 years calling them Nazis, xenophobes, Islamophobes (as if that’s a bad thing), sexists (as if that’s a bad thing) and a whole plethora of -phobes and -ists whose legitimacy nobody voted for and approximately nobody agreed upon.
And since in Europe there is no mechanism like in the US to repudiate these things at the ballot box (at least not a direct and effective one), we’ll have to make do with the imperfect ones – the soap box all the time, the ballot box wherever possible, the lobby box (as informal as it is) and, hopefully, we won’t need the cartridge box.
One side point for our American friends: While second amendment rights are rare in Europe, historically, when we decide to chimp out, we do it in ways that make the overwhelming majority of American chimp outs look like gay pride parades in comparison. The regular striking season in France (that takes place every month of May since the 1960s) makes the BLM riots genuinely look mostly peaceful. The riots in Amsterdam, Rome, Madrid, Prague or Belgrade during the Pandemic Project were far more serious than all protests in the US combined in the last 30 years.
Point being: NOW is the time to strike at the Regime in our countries. They’ve never been weaker and more scared since the fall of the Iron Curtain.
Bury them in lawsuits, bury them in physical protests, vote out of spite with anyone but not them, convince others to do the same, purposefully increase the tension in society unidirectionally against them – the establishmentarians.
These people must lose. At all costs.
Will there be consequences for this approach? Yes, of course! And some of them may not be pretty at all! But, by the same token, there is simply no room left to fix anything with this current leadership. Not after the Pandemic Project and the multitude of exaggerations and straight up evil in the years prior to 2020. There is such thing as enough is enough.
And all of this must happen before any policy discussion.
Yes, of course most European countries should increase their defense spending. Yes, of course most European countries should get a DOGE of their own. Yes, of course most European countries are socialist shitholes that must go through an active process of transition to capitalism the way Eastern Europe had in the 1990s.
But, before any of that, the first step is physical replacement. We have to do all of the above (and more) but not with the current pseudoelite.
There’s an old Romanian say: When the brothel ain’t working anymore, it’s time to change the whores. And we’re at that moment.
Weren’t these whores super-duper happy at the Great Reset project just 5 years ago? Well, turns out that the idea wasn’t entirely wrong. Let’s have a Great Reset of them.
JD Vance’s good for Romania
In the last 40 years, there have been exactly three American officials who have done good for my country not by accident, but intentionally so: Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush and JD Vance. In this order.
By mentioning the annulment of the Presidential election in Romania, JD Vance did two things here:
gave permission to the 70% of the populace who also agrees that the annulment was a bad idea
put the Regime on notice that they crossed a red line
Headline reads: “Why Trump’s America is not the ally Europe and Romania can rely on, but an enemy”
This led to hilarious reactions from the usual suspects. Perhaps the most notable being the one shown above (the headline has since been changed).
The shutting down (really just a suspension) of USAID and the Vicepresident’s speech triggered a preference cascade the likes of which I haven’t witnessed since 2004 – at the previous serious regime change in Romania. And it’s glorious to see in and of itself.
It was even funnier to see the editors rushing to edit history as it dawned on them that their cushy wages are also American, generally speaking. The author of the above screenshot has been on the payroll of the US Embassy until two minutes ago, basically. This unconstrained public chimp out from such people (here I would also include Adrian Papahagi, Cătălin Tolontan, the grifters from Recorder and a whole plethora of local public speakers who effectively confirmed what we’ve all been suspecting: that they’re all grifters) – well,… this chimp out from them blew away the last shred of legitimacy they might’ve had.
Even some of them are now acknowledging it. Not in these words, but they do so when they acknowledge that the current establishmentarian officials in Romania are treated with contempt anywhere it is relevant (see Andrei Caramitru). Which, by the way, that is a very good thing.
The majority of Romanians (again, around 70%) treat the current Romanian officials with hostility and contempt as the default. And about 40% with straight up hatred.
Prior to 2020, even the most avid haters of the Romanian political class (such as yours truly) would assume they’re all liars and grifters for political gain. Which translated into always double-checking what they say.
After 2020, however, around 40% of us simply don’t care. An official from PSD/PNL/USR/UDMR could claim that water is wet and our reaction would be somewhere between “no, it isn’t – you’re a liar” and “who the fuck cares? You’re illegitimate. Go fuck yourself!”
Of course, this isn’t specific to Romania. Germany is in a similar situation. So is France. And soon more countries will join the club, whether they like it or not.
The reason is simple: While multi-party democracies can ensure a more lasting tenure in power for the establishment, there still does come a point when all possible combinations have been tried already. And when that moment comes (like it did in Romania), there’s no way to go but out.
And, you see, that’s an existential crisis for the current political class in Romania. Most of these people have never held a proper job in the entirety of their lives. They are, to put it simply, useless leeches. Most of them eligible for some jail time as well. And they know it! That’s why they fight so hard and so dirty to stay in power. Because once they’re truly out of power, there be dragons… for them.
On top of this, one also should bear in mind that since 1995 the political class has always been low-key subservient to the US. It was a very good bargain. The US (until 2013) had no ideological demands, was willing to support a fast-paced transition to democracy and a fast-paced economic transition (with the local currency becoming convertible in 1998 largely with US support and for great benefit to our people). In return the US asked for some military support and high(er) military spending on a modernized army formed by professionals rather than conscripts. All of this was popular with the general populace as well.
So the political class from 1995 onwards found itself in a golden age: having to sometimesserve an empire (the USA) whose demands were anyway very popular locally. You can’t get more of a perfect grift than this one!
But… over time… things changed. The country joined the EU in 2007. And after 2012 the EU itself started transforming into something that is deeply unpopular and downright harmful and evil. The local political class survived through a fine balancing act between US and EU (read: German) interests, also benefiting from the fact that the most angry people with them simply left.
And then 2020 came. Which not only brought exaggerations and evil policies, but also brought back a lot of people from abroad. This trend had started prior to that (as it did in Poland too) but got heavily accelerated with the Pandemic Project which saw several countries going full insane over a cough with 99.999% survival rate of everyone under 70 and a statistically zero IFR among children. The upending of the entirety of social and economic life so that grandma lives till age 88 and 4 months instead of 87 and 11 months initially shocked people but the shock turned to anger and slowly to resentment and spite. And for good reason!
The Pandemic Project hit hard on the prime exponent of the post-2004 Regime, that is PNL (blue on the graph above) without a perfect corresponding upswing for the other big systemic gang that is PSD (red on the graph above).
Long story short, by 2024, the systemic parties found themselves increasingly on the wrong side of the public. Here at the Sofa we’ve been warning and detailing how and why this will happen but few have heeded the warning. From the Regime’s perspective, all of this happened suddenly and unexpectedly. And although that’s not true, they act as if it is because that’s their sincere belief. And, in these matters, perception is reality.
From their perspective, everything was going smoothly as late as the summer of 2024 when the Regime alliance (PSD+PNL) got almost 50% of the vote and, combined with the Westoid Left’s 8% (mainly USR) and the Hungarian Minority Party’s 6%, it seemed that the establishment is doing great – especially since the Alliance for the Unification of Romanians had under-performed (only 15%, coming second) and SOS barely made the threshold at 5.03%.
Then came the parliamentary/general elections on December 1, 2024, in which, again, the establishment performed worse than expected but still good enough – now able to rule, albeit with a very slim majority. But also with almost 40% of the new Parliament comprised from rock-through-the-glass parties and with the Westoid Left (USR) caught in the middle and in fast decrease.
And then came the unmitigated disaster of the annulment of the Presidential election. And the suspension of USAID and JD Vance’s speech. This is almost the perfect storm. All we need is a terrorist attack from a blue-haired westoid leftist against a “sovereignist” and the whole situation mismanaged by the Police. Not that I’m hoping for that – I like my country without terrorism, thank you very much – but, truly, that would make this a perfect storm.
Still, JD Vance’s speech made violence a lot less likely now. The 40% haters have no reason whatsoever to chimp out violently. They had very few even in December, but now it would be counter-productive since the Trump Administration signaled that it agrees with us.
Meanwhile, the Regime suddenly can’t engage in too much violence either. It tried in the first weeks after the annulment but that didn’t quite work out because the idjits went after random TikTokers who are young and therefore simply unimpressed by the State’s authority. Effectively, the Regime tried to manage the situation using Boomer politics in a political moment that is very much explicitly against Boomer politics.
“One thing is important: All the agents of russia should be jailed or neutralized depending on their involvement: whether they’re active traitors or useful idiots. Influencers, politicians, Securitate officers, academicians, priests, journalists – it doesn’t matter. A few thousand of these need to be neutralized.And fast. Before the presidential election.” – Adrian Papahagi, English philology professor, former advisor in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, post from December 2024 (in the meantime the post was deleted)
So what’s left is the Regime (and its army of shills) fighting for their own survival now.
And they’re losing too. Mostly because they’re stuck in a project that nobody cares about. Încremeniți înproiect as Romanian wisdom tells us.
In 2025 they try to counteract the threat to their privileges and power through methods that are straight up laughable: like having university professors write long screeches on Faceberg or in Regime newspapers that are read by approximately zero people.
Meanwhile, VP Vance replies to anons on X with very detailed policy explanation. Of course, the user to whom he replies to is not a random anon, but also a policy wonk from Germany. But the fact remains: the discussion is no longer taking place in the Regime’s terms and on the Regime’s turf.
VP Vance will not find time to offer detailed policy analysis to CNN or to Deutsche Welle. But he has plenty of time for @eugyppius1 on X, on CPAC or on Joe Rogan’s podcast. The very notion of what constitutes mainstream and legitimate is (finally! thank God 🙏🏻) suffering a profound reset.
The same phenomenon is happening in Romania as well. Regime-aligned websites routinely get fewer readers than this website. Regime-aligned expensive TV shows gather fewer views even than the Sofa. And that’s despite the multiple algorithmic restrictions that the Sofa still is under while the Regime-aligned shows benefit from an implicit algorithmic boost (at least on Youtube – though not anymore on Faceberg).
And the response that it’s all amplified by russia/CCP simply doesn’t work anymore. It’s not that such amplification doesn’t happen (it sure does happen, at least sometimes), but it’s not the russians that make Regime-aligned content be effectively marginal on the Internet. It’s not the russians that are upset for the election annulment – quite the opposite: they’re very happy that this happened – and they tell you that openly. Here’s a russian politician about it. Here’s vladimir putin about it. Sorry for the russian links but this is also something that is usually exploited: Most people can’t read russian so the Regime relied heavily on this fact and assumed everyone would believe them about what russian propaganda says. This worked well when the Regime claims were somewhat in the same ballpark with reality – but that’s not the case anymore.
Of course, this holds true for the vatniks as well. The running joke these days is that even our vatniks are westernized. Most pro-russian shills in Romania are just as fluent in the russian language as most pro-EU/westoid shills – which is to say fuck all.
All in all, JD Vance opened the floodgates. He may not have intended to (although given his subsequent behavior I have many reasons to assume he did), but the outcome is what it is. The masks are off.
What we do (both in Romania and in Europe in general) with this political moment is still unclear.
But, in the case of Romania, I will insist: No matter the outcome, JD Vance’s tirade was undoubtedly a very good thing he did for my country and my people. Even if my favorite side of the argument ends up losing this war, it will still have been an uncontested good for Romania that these people, the establishmentarians, get a gigantic kick in the teeth alongsideALL of their inconspicuous (paid!) shills. All of these people must lose. And they deserve to lose. The country will be inherently better off once all of these people will have lost.
Then we’ll have plenty of time to deal with the consequences. And yes, some of the consequences won’t be pleasant. The line might go down (oh no!) and the most irresponsible people in society – those who have debts – might have to pay a higher interest (oh no!), but, overall, that’s a cost that is totally worth it.
Some things are worth more than their monetary value. For yours truly and most of this esteemed audience, freedom of speech simply matters more. So much more that I’m perfectly happy – heck, exhilarated indeed – to trade even a long recession in return to a complete restoration of freedom of speech not to 2013 levels, but to 1991 levels! Everything must be permitted in public and in full. Yes, including the most unsavory and fucked up things that disgust me.
Because, ultimately, that’s what freedom of speech is for. For the things that we hate the most.
Downstream from this, yes, of course I also want revenge. For the Pandemic Project in particular. But also generally for the arrogance of the current establishment – and not just in Romania. These people must lose.
We tried the nice way. I certainly did. For over a decade. The patience has simply ran out. I’m out of fucks to give. And so are about 40% of my fellow countrymen.
It’s politically irrelevant (realistically speaking) who the next president of Romania is. But, since the Boomers in the Regime have signaled that it’s highly important for them, then it is incumbent on me and on us, the (at least) 40% to make sure the next president is whomever they hate the most.
But even more important is for the next president to be someone NOT from the current regime. So definitely not Crin Antonescu, Ponta, Bolojan, Ciolacu, Lasconi, Moșteanu… or anyone from PNL, PSD or USR. At this point I’d vote for Satan if it means these people lose and are humiliated. Cruelty must become the point. Their ideals must be openly held in contempt and stomped upon. Politically speaking, of course. As I said: I’m not a big fan of violence and that’s precisely why I was the happiest person in Romania for JD Vance’s speech. He just made violence utterly unnecessary. Which is great. It means we can fix this in a civilized manner.
Not a conclusion
The current EU-sponsored hybrid and panic porn attack on Romania shall also pass. In a month nobody will even remember it. That’s why, unlike my fellow dissidents, I’m unmoved by the relentless panic porn that the Regime media unleashed following JD Vance’s speech.
The elections will be in May. A looooot of things can happen until then. Very likely by then we’ll have a different prime minister. And very likely a wholly different governmental majority. If not by May, certainly by autumn. That will be my focus (and hopefully our people’s focus too) – to help to the best of our abilities that the next governing majority favors as many of our policy positions as possible while also necessarily holds in contempt as many of their policy positions as well.
I hope (and I’d pray too if I believed in that) that our people can hold the eyes on the ball for the next several months. The most important part of Romanian politics is the Parliament. Who moves things there matters the most. Who is President is a lot less important for the day-to-day lives of our people.
However, that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t take the election seriously. It just means we gotta keep doing what we’ve been doing – actively undermine the Regime joyfully and calmly. Let them be angry and seething. Nothing brings more votes for the institution of the Extremist Candidate™ than Tapalagă or col. Dogioiu seething in the pages of their increasingly marginal blogs.
We’ll probably have fragmentation as well. The Regime will attempt a form of malicious compliance in this form: The Strategic Partner said we should observe democracy? Great, then everyone can run – including Ponta, Șoșoacă, CG and maybe two or three more ”sovereignists”. It’s a tactic that has routinely worked in favor of the Regime. It failed in December 2024, but that doesn’t mean it will necessarily fail again.
But… that’s a story for another time.
For now, this would be the shortest 😂 assessment for our foreign friends.
The ball is in play (“se joacă!”) as we routinely say on the stadia. It’s 1-1 at half time after 0-0 in the first leg. We haven’t won anything yet.
In my house live my pregnant wife and my son. Not my partner and my offspring. And no, wearen’t pregnant; my wife is.
According to the social engineers of the current year(s), we’re pregnant is cute and an expression of togetherness. That would be hilarious if it weren’t weird and dehumanizing. If I get a prostate cancer, everyone can rest assured that my wife won’t be fighting it. She can’t. And that’s okay. Just like it’s okay that I’m not pregnant because I can’t.
A few days ago, another group of social engineers published a new “study” on how to re-educate Latin Americans into accepting being called Latinx. I showed this to my Venezuelan colleague. And, before you ask, yes he is one of the Venezuelans who immigrated to Hungary allegedly in secrecy. So secretly that the media wrote about it. Anyway, suffice to say that my very well-educated Venezuelan colleague didn’t react quite well to being told by a gringo that he’s uneducated because he doesn’t accept the mutilation of his native tongue or that he’s a bad person because he doesn’t accept the inherent dehumanization that comes with so-called inclusive language.
This may not seem like an important issue, even though it’s in top 3 issues that may lose the Democrats the election in a week. But it’s important enough for those of us who, because of our work, have to stumble upon and sometimes work with these pendejos – the people who put their pronouns in their signatures (even though nobody asked), the people who write Bauarbeiter:innen unironically in German, todxs in Spanish and, of course, weird pronouns and the already known crap present in English.
Now, the good news is that those “culture warriors” (for lack of a better term) have managed to meaningfully push back at least in some corners, but it’s simply not enough. And one way to improve this is to emphasize to the normies how they’re being dehumanized by this.
One thing I’ve learned from the Sofa is that arguing logically with these extremists is pointless. What works is convincing the audience that what these loons propose is evil and deranged. And on this issue, the shortest way to do exactly that is to re-frame the whole discussion in these terms: The whole idea is dehumanizing.
Yes, it requires a bit of an appeal to emotion (like done in the first paragraph) but is it really appeal to emotion if it’s also true? That’s rhetorical, because ultimately it doesn’t matter. The real world is not the Oxford Debate Society as the boss is fond of saying.
The argument
Every time you use “inclusive language” you are purposefully minimizing and arguably dehumanizing the normal and normative Majority (capital M necessary here) without actually being inclusive at all.
My wife is certainly not more “included” when referred to as part of Lehrer*innen (teachers in “inclusive” German). And certainly the minority of male teachers aren’t more included either by being referred to as part of an awfully written concept that uses the feminine termination. And there is zero evidence that the 3 to 5 “transgender” teachers in the German-speaking world are suddenly more “included” because the way you say/write “teachers” has now been mutilated.
Peak-dehumanization happens when this ideology seeps into very concrete conversations – like those about sex. Including with confused teenagers.
A few months ago me and my wife were at a party with a truly diverse crowd – the diversity that matters, that is. And sometime late at night as a few of us were chatting and, as it always happens when it’s after 2AM and everyone has had a bit to drink, the conversation eventually drifted to politics and then to sex and sexuality. Nothing wrong with that, we’re all adults and since me and my missus are known to be sex positive, it’s no surprise (to us) that eventually such topics would be inserted into the conversation because even those who disagree with us yearn to talk with a truly sex positive couple.
But it wasn’t the disagreement that triggered my ire and the bigger ire from my wife – but the language.
At some point we were chatting about sex ed in the family as most attendees were parents of teenagers or tweens. It was already bad enough that the more lefty-inclined were using therapy language and ideologically charged terms as we were discussing whether the recent fads among the youth are really new or we’ve just become more open about discussing these things. But all hell broke loose with my missus when a British woman interjected:
Of course, it will be different for those who raise a person doing the penetration.
I was still thinking of a witty way to reply in such a way that mocks the very thought process that led to someone uttering such a string of words but, by the time my thought process could come up with something in a language I’m not that good at, my wife had already taken the initiative, showing once again that it’s men and women not bonus holes and persons doing the penetration. I mean… nobody insults a woman better than another woman!
Again, we were all adults, so the whole interaction eventually led to a very profound discussion about ideological poisoning and possession but, even so, the fact that someone seemingly intelligent can refer to our sons as the person doing the penetration got me thinking: How many such people are there? And how many of them are in position to educate our children?
Maybe there aren’t that many (I still cling to optimism) but if someone like me, effectively apolitical until three years ago, can encounter straight-up Reddit type of ideological language out there “in the wild”, then there must be more than a few of such people.
Why it matters
A Moldovan was saying 5 years ago, referring to russian-derived calques that are mutilating the Romanian language: The person who speaks badly definitely thinks badly – and will inevitably act badly.
There are of course many more quotes (some of them mis-attributed, some outright false) that convey the same meaning: Whoever controls the language, eventually controls thought. At least in part.
And this is why it matters. Adults fooling around at a private party at 2AM in Budapest, especially adults who could afford to fly in for the event and also afford families or other arrangements so they can leave their kid(s) safely behind – that is not an issue.
However, adults fooling around perverting descriptive language around children, is an issue. And it’s quite hard to argue that it isn’t. Because children learn through imitation.
My son is never late because he sees his father always striving to never be late. My nephew is always a bit late because, just like his father, my dear brother, he is more approximate with time management.
My son speaks politely because he saw his parents always speak politely first. My son will also unleash a torrent of highly creative insults if you piss him off needlessly because that’s what he saw his parents do. My son will also effortlessly stand up for himself in most situations because that’s what his parents and most of his peers do (and we made an active effort to handpick those peers, once again contrary to the “wisdom” shared online incessantly).
Children’s minds are easily impressionable. That’s why how we act around children matters. It’s not the be all and end all in every situation, like helicopter parents would have you believe, but it’s also not inconsequential as modernity tries to convince us all, parents and childless alike.
Oh, by the way, the word childless is now bad too. Apparently, the “inclusive” way is to say childfree. Am I the only one who notices the inherent dehumanization of the word childfree? It has the same undertone as cancer-free. Maybe I’m overthinking this, but it simply is dehumanizing to describe lack of life (because that’s what childlessness is) as inherently positive.
Advocates of “inclusivity” tell us that childless carries a negative connotation. But it doesn’t. Unfruitfulness, infecundity, barenness – all these have (arguably) a negative or at least judgmental connotation. But childless does not. It’s the neutral term. But under the dehumanizing ideology of inclusivity, neutral terms are bad.
That’s why we should use the dehumanizing angle more when pushing back against inclusive language. If not for ourselves, at least for our children.
I don’t want my son to dehumanize his future wife by calling her partner. In the language of Internet kids: that’s gay af. No, seriously, it is. And not just because the pendej@s say so, but because anyone who was alive in pre-history, let’s say 2010, can remember that the word partner to refer to one’s romantic partner was nearly exclusive to homosexuals. If you ask me, even that was dehumanizing. But extending that to everyone, is even more dehumanizing.
I don’t want my son to be dehumanized in the future by having his reality erased and replaced with “people of any gender”.
And, if my wife ends up giving birth to a baby girl, I’d very much like for her to be called a woman, not a bonus hole. And preferably to become a wife not a partner. She can become a business partner if she’s smart enough, but she’ll be someone’s girlfriend and someone’s wife.
Inclusive language, at best, sows confusion. It’s dehumanizing in the rest of the time.
And hopefully more people notice that and act accordingly. It’s not even hard. Oftentimes it takes under a minute. Like this:
Someone else: My partner doesn’t feel good about the vacation.
You: Oh, there’s more to work and you can’t go on vacation?
SE: No, we both secured the free days, but there are other concerns.
You: What do you mean secured freed days? You’re both leaving the company? Who’s going to take care of business?
SE:…
You: Aren’t you talking about your business partner?
And, just like that, you made someone else re-think about using partner in the wrong context.
You don’t always have to be an edgy culture warrior. You just always have to be normal. And, if you are a man, especially a father, you also have the duty to enforce normality around you as well. If not for yourself, at least for your child(ren). They deserve not to grow up among confused people and risk ending up confused themselves.
With less than 2 months till the Latin American Tour and with three more rounds of elections in my backyard, there’s more pressure on my time than ever. The first two episodes of the Khmer Tour are now out, while in the background I’m working at the next Podcast, all while hunting intra-South-American flights to navigate less than 3 months ago. It’s… crowded.
And amid this, I just got the 200th (?!) message asking when I’ll do X country. So why not explain why and when that will (not) happen? So, without further ado:
The criteria
The following don’t have to be met simultaneously, but at least some will have to be met for me to consider – especially if I’m going to involve y’all.
Accessible and free enough. Some countries are simply inaccessible – like Algeria. The procedure to get in is so much of a headache that it’s simply not worth bothering. Then there are countries that are somewhat accessible but simply not free enough – like Turkmenistan or North Korea. By “free enough” I mean be able to walk around and talk to people. It doesn’t have to be a liberal democracy (I’ve done 4 autocracies in a row in the last 2 years and this year I’ll do a hybrid regime and an underdeveloped dangerous democracy) – but it has to be free enough that I don’t have to ask for approval every 3 minutes.
Tolerable levels ofdanger. Well, this one is subjective. I went to Ukraine several times since the beginning of the war – but it’s Ukraine. A place that I know really well and know how to navigate in any circumstance. Meanwhile, in theory, Iraq these days is less dangerous than Ukraine. But, in practice, I wouldn’t do Iraq today, even though I’d really like to (more on that later).
Past totalitarian experience or present authoritarian experience. Self explanatory – almost all in the last decade fit this one.
Reasonably priced. Of course, this is relative, but resources aren’t infinite either. And that includes time, not just money. For instance, a trip to India may really not be too expensive, but it would require 2 months at the very least. That’s a “price” too steep. Alternatively, I’d have to settle for a casual and common type of thing which would last less but would also defeat the purpose. Every series like this is meant to intentionally go where most don’t (and not just geographically).
Preferably less touristy. Where everyone goes, I don’t want to go. Sometimes that’s unavoidable, but most of the time it’s easy. If one wants touristy stuff, this isn’t the place.
Is or has been in the news recently. Sweden 2020 and Ecuador 2024 fit this one nicely. Sometimes the opportunity arises to go beyond the headlines in a way most can’t or won’t.
Preferably next to a country I’ve never been. Whenever there’s two countries involved, one of them has to be a country that I know and have been to in the past. The reason is simple: Escape route. See 20 tips for solo travelers. This is particularly important for places that are far away from Europe and far away from a friendly embassy. If things go rough, it may be impossible to fly back to Europe on a whim (even if budget is available), but running to the neighboring country is usually possible even in the most dire circumstances. Ideally, I must know the neighboring country to a certain extent.
There are also some smaller ones that may tilt the balance but, by and large, the criteria above is how I make the decision.
And this makes it easy to list what’s possible in the future.
What I hope to be possible soon
Myanmar. The junta there is losing ground in the civil war. I’m seriously hoping to be able to do Myanmar in 2026. It will make for one hell of a series of stories (especially after you hear the Khmer Series). The recent history of Burma/Myanmar is, politically speaking, crazy. In a way that very few other places can compare.
Vietnam. Ideally, in conjunction with Myanmar. Some issues about Vietnam are/will be discussed in the Khmer Series – but the logical conclusion will be getting there. However, I wouldn’t go just to ‘Nam. But ‘Nam as backup while exploring post-junta Myanmar? Sign me up!
Iraq. I was just going to settle for Iraq for 2024 but in August 2023 the security situation went insane again. Quite unfortunate because Baghdad is one of the ancient cities of the world and it’s so full of stories that nobody is telling. Besides, the politics of Iraq is in itself fascinating to study. If things don’t improve by the end of the decade, I’ll probably try some surrogate – like paying for some of the contacts to show up in Türkiye or something. We’ll see what happens.
Ethiopia. I’ve been there several times but exploring Ethiopia more deeply is something I’ve been craving for a long while. And finally, when the opportunity was clear,… a civil war broke out. The security situation right now is still pretty bad. Sure, not extreme, but I don’t have a known country around. Ethiopia is the known country. I was hoping to connect with Djibouti (with the CCP clown train) and maybe dabble a bit into the stories of the Yemeni refugees there. The potential for greatness of such a series is self-evident. Hopefully I live long enough to actually make it.
Senegal. This place is rarely in the news. Mostly because it doesn’t fit the stereotype. Senegal had a profound constitutional crisis last year and throughout the first months of 2024. But, unlike most others in the region, the (previously thought of as) fragile democracy survived. And that is one of the reasons it’s politically interesting here. The bottom-up struggles to keep the balance of power is not the kind of story you expect to hear from West-Africa.
Mali. This was under consideration for 2025 but then Wagner PMC showed up in Mali. And then more Islamist separatists. And then more clusterfuck. So… for now… Mali will have to wait. At least in terms of exploring with a camera.
El Salvador & Guatemala. This will probably be 2026, tbh. El Salvador is in the news for its eccentric but so far really effective president and Guatemala is also a story of a country that cleaned itself up but whose story didn’t shine through the news. They’re well connected to each other and it’s doable.
Argentina. Ideally, I’d do Argentina in 2027 or 2028. After all, the reason people write to me to do Argentina is the Milei administration. Well… in politics the effects are not immediate. It would make for a more comprehensive story (positive or negative – we don’t know yet) if a bit more time passes. Javier Milei has been in power for just 8 months. Let’s give him time before making any pronouncements.
Chile. In the past, Chile had a reputation of being expensive. But… not anymore. The Pinochetian history alone makes it worthwhile, but also the current politics of Chile is full of quirks that the global news barely scratched the surface on. Hopefully this one will be possible – though I admit it’s not a priority.
Indonesia. Almost 12 million people visited Indonesia in 2023. Almost 95% of them went to one single place – Bali. But Indonesia is also the largest Muslim country in the world. 1 in 7 Muslims in the world is Indonesian. As the biggest demographic player in dar al Islam, Indonesia’s recent history is key to understanding where the Islamic civilization is heading towards. And that matters given that it’s the fastest growing religion and will remain so for the rest of the century.
Bosnia. Not a priority, but one day I’ll have to do this. The politics of Bosnia is a level of clownery even most Europeans have no idea of.
What I’d love, but won’t happen
In Romania there is a say: Beautiful country, too bad it’s inhabited/governed. Well… there are quite a few of those in the world.
Iran. That’s a place I won’t explore with a camera as long as the Islamic Republic exists. But should that fall, forget about the lists. I’m in the next flight to Tehran!
Russia. Haven’t been there in a long while. And I doubt I’ll go anytime soon. But if not for the insane federal government, there are several portions of Russia that are in fact beautiful and have great local stories. The area round Lake Baikal would be great to visit without the current regime. Left to their own devices, the people there can be quite lovely. And their stories… oh man… their stories. I could just leave the camera on and chat for a few hours with a few locals over some booze. Without the censorship and fear, such a thing would make for mindblowing videos. Same thing: if the current iteration of russia goes out… I’m heading there.
DPRK. Self-explanatory. If the regime in Pyongyang falls, I’m there soon after. It won’t be cheap, but it will be history. Realistically, I have more chances at doing Russia than DPRK. But let’s hope I’m wrong 🙏🏻
Sudan and South Sudan. The politics of that region is even crazier than Myanmar. But, unlike Myanmar, there’s a slim chance I’ll live long enough for these two to be good enough for visiting.
Venezuela. In fact, if the Maduro regime had fallen this week, I would’ve switched Ecuador for Venezuela right now. That didn’t happen so… Venezuela will have to wait. Still,… doing an immediately post-communist country is something that I hope to live long enough to do. The Chavistas have been in power for about the same amount of time as Ceaușescu so… it’ll be pretty comparable.
What’s unlikely but doable
India. I get a query about India at least 5 times a year. Doing India would require 2 or 3 months. Not only because it’s a huge place, but also because over the years I worked with a lot of fine Indians and if they’d find out I stepped foot in their country and didn’t make contact with them, they’ll be upset. But the cost of doing India right is simply too high and will remain too high for many years to come. Even if all the expenses were to be covered, being on the other side of the planet for 3 months is a hard ask. I’d do it. But… not now.
Brazil. Navigating Brazil is crazily expensive. With the cost of doing 3 weeks in Brazil I can do something bigger, nicer and more profound somewhere else. Including somewhere else in Latin America.
Saudi Arabia. Maybe after 2035 😂. Let’s just leave it at that.
China (PRC). Seriously, stop querying me about this. It ain’t happening. Unless this happens. Though even then I’d be reluctant. Too big of a place.
Of course, I didn’t cover everything but, by and large, that’s the thinking process right now. Of course, all of it could change depending on so many factors – from sudden political change, outbreak (or stopping) of a war and, of course, the opinions of the Donors’ Circle.
So… to honor the title…
O’zbekiston-Tojikiston 2025
The Central Asia Series brought more diverse and far more interesting feedback than I expected. Meanwhile… I ran out of footage for quite a few other stories and facets.
So… since I now know the place, why not finish the story?
The idea is to hit what I missed in Uzbekistan – namely Khiva, Nukus (Karakalpakstan), Andijan and Namangan. The latter two being of interest as the intellectual origin of several Islamist groups, the political point of origin of the Karimov regime and the current focal point of bilateral economic development with… Tadjikistan.
Tadjikistan has gotten in the news lately for allegedly banning the hijab. But… not really. It’s… quite a bit more complicated. Still… to get to videotape in practice what an attempt at Kemalization looks like in a Persian(!) nation… that’s a once in a lifetime opportunity.
Financially, this should be viable fairly easily. Logistically… er… I’ll figure something out, as always. The language barrier will be an issue too. But, by and large, getting back to Central Asia is just good policy at this point, all things considered.
Also, it will be quite relevant to see how the unfolding of Russia’s war will have changed things by next autumn. Not just to test hypotheses/predictions but also to see the effects. I betcha they’ll be noticeable. Especially in the north-east of O’zbekiston and in Dushanbe.
Oh… and Tajikistan may have a new leader by then. Who knows? Maybe I catch the inauguration.
Either way, there’s more stories in these two countries that I haven’t had the chance to tell. And given your feedback, I’ll head out to find ways to tell them.
So… yeah. That’s a rough estimate on what calculations are going on in the background when making such decisions. I’m not complaining. It’s a good problem to have. After all, it will soon be 10 years (!) of the Sofa. That in itself is a good problem to have.
But what I am saying is that every time I’m being asked “when X country/place” the answer is… well… it’s a bit more complicated than that. So I just provided the basics of the process. Hopefully that clears things up a little bit.
So… with that said, I’ll head back to work. In the meantime, please consider supporting the Colombia-Ecuador tour. I’ve gotten all the flights but it’s still in doubt all the objectives on the list are doable, given the current state of the fundraiser. Every dollar counts!
The legislature in the Great State of Florida passed legislation that bans lab-grown meat and governor DeSantis just signed it into law. In under 24 hours, with the ink on the bill not dry yet, the whole Expert™ class published long walls of text explaining to us, mere mortals, why Florida is wrong. Scientific American called it evidence free. While the BBC titled the story as Ron DeSantis bans ‘global elite’ lab-grown meat – misleadingly suggesting that this is somehow DeSantis’ idea (it’s not), that Florida is somehow unique in this endeavor (it’s not) and that such a policy is the purview of conspiracist loons with fantasies about a global elite (it’s not). Oh, and let’s not forget the usual gaslighting – Why Florida banned a kind of meat that doesn’t really exist (If it doesn’t exist and it’s not happening, then why are you upset?). This reminds us about the bans on pornographic material in schools also passed by Florida legislature. We were told it’s silly because pornography doesn’t exist in public schools. As it turned out, it did exist. The same is true here: Lab-grown meat in fact does exist and is already being sold in the United States.
But the most important dynamic can be observed on Twitter X, where all of the techno-optimist shills influential accounts have nearly the same message. In fact three messages:
right wingers are bad because they’re not techno-optimists
right wingers are just like leftists because they ban stuff
right wingers have been bribed by Big Meat to pass a protectionist measure
The first two are utterly ridiculous because being a techno-optimist is not some universally understood moral good (quite the opposite, I would argue) and banning stuff doesn’t make one a leftist. As Milton Friedman was saying – to see if an idea holds water, take it to the limits. So, if banning stuff makes one a leftist, does that mean we shouldn’t be banning murder? If yes, then maybe being a leftist isn’t a bad thing. If banning murder doesn’t make one a leftist, then maybe banning stuff isn’t in and of itself a leftist position.
The third message of the big accounts on X is the classical conspiracism that’s fashionable in pseudo-elite circles. You see, the people who hate you don’t think you actually hold the policy positions you say you hold, even if you live them out and lead by example. In their mind, you, the pleb, are merely manipulated or straight-up bought-off by moneyed interests that happen to be in competition with them. So, in this case, people who support the lab meat ban are simply hunters or farmers who bought-off the politicians to protect their own interests.
The beauty of Twitter X, however, is that regular plebs can talk back and, as it turns out, few of them are farmers, let alone Big Meat representatives yet they either agree with Florida’s new policy, or slowly come to agree with it judging by who is against it.
So who is against Florida’s new policy? Techno-optimists, experts™, vegans, investors in lab meat technology and the most ridiculous libertines with a fetish to being contrarians at all costs (some of those people’s hard drives and bank accounts should be audited, but that’s a story for another day). What to these have in common? They’re all very likely to support policy that makes the lives of regular people worse. They are, in internet lingo, non-frens.
In favor of the policy there’s mostly regular people (including more and more nominal leftists and liberals) whose political thinking is slowly evolving into something not named yet. I called it “expert-skepticism” but it could just as easily be called pro-science if that brand hadn’t already been confiscated by people who are anything but.
The screeching by the Experts™ isn’t landing anymore. In fact, more and more people straight-up say: If the Experts™ say lab grown meat is good, then it’s probably bad or at the very least not really that good.
Quite a lot of people are bringing up the experience with the pandemic hysteria – a topic where DeSantis’ skepticism was undoubtedly the superiour policy prescription and a topic the Experts™ would really love for all the rest of us to forget. Trouble is that and we won’t forget it precisely because it’s a moment where it was self-evident for almost everyone that the Experts™ are not just wrong, but malicious as well.
Just like with the Covid shots, the actual science on lab-grown meat is dubious. There’s reasonable concern that the end product might be suboptimal. There is also some proof that it may indeed be dangerous. Maybe these concerns are unfounded. But nobody can say yet and those who claim otherwise have a vested interest (be it ideological or financial) and thus can’t be trusted.
But those who support Florida’s measure don’t really care that much about the science behind it – nor should they. The very idea that we should do policy based on what marginal nerds think is preposterous. The opinion of scientists should be consulted occasionally when it’s absolutely required. This is not the case here.
Most people who support Florida’s measure are applying good ol’ fashioned common sense and experience. The government already tried to take away my freedoms based on flimsy “science” twice in the last 5 years: Once with the Covid shots and once with the silly car bans that include garden mowers in California or “green new deal” type of lunacy that created hundreds of thousands of new homeless people just in Germany alone – all on the altar of The Cimate™ and all based on dodgy science. So, under these conditions, those urging me, Joe the Voter, to now embrace lab grown meat have simply no credibility and, heuristically speaking, it is more likely than not that the correct decision is to do the opposite of what they advise.
Moreover, it doesn’t take a genius or a Harvard PhD to know that psychological reactance is a real phenomenon and that most people make decisions based on disgust. In the case of lab grown meat, not only is the disgust justified, but it just so happens to align with a lot of other interests (including the interest of real science itself).
Should obscure, unelected, unaccountable, billionaire-subsidized interests be allowed to experiment on our food supply? Enough people say no. You may disagree, but if the choice is between allowing lab grown meat unrestricted and banning it – the latter is the sensible choice in a context where no compromise is permitted.
The other side simply demands that you trust the Science™ and let them experiment with the food of your children. You may be okay with that, but enough people are simply not and convincing them otherwise will require a bit more than just calling them unevolved rubes, conspiracists or some other slur that ultimately still means Untermenschen.
The interests of “Big Agriculture” are just incidental to this discussion. The real debate is whether it should be permitted to introduce whatever the hell you want into the food supply of a nation, just because “scientists” say it’s okay now. At some point radioactive toothpaste was approved by scientists and those who warned against it were called cranks, luddites and all sorts of nasty names. Most of them were never compensated for the reputational damage they suffered as a result of being correct.
Maybe lab-grown meat is not like the radioactive toothpaste. But it may still be like Thalidomide. Most people today either don’t know this drug at all or only know it by the Thalidomide scandal. As it turns out, giving it out like candy over the counter for morning sickness ended up killing 10,000+ infants and maiming another several thousands for life. Only in Germany. Because in the late 1950s skepticism was still the norm. The FDA made the backwards and luddite decision of not allowing the German wonder-drug on the US market because they didn’t trust the German scientists. At the time, the decision was also “evidence-free” according to the techno-optimists of the time.
Today we know that Thalidomide is not straight-up poison, but it’s very dangerous and has some specific uses for good and is thus used only there while kept away from general use. If Thalidomide had been invented today, we would’ve likely killed hundreds of thousands of infants until there would’ve been a scandal because today, unlike the 1950s, skepticism towards Science™ is even rarer than it was 70 years ago.
And this is why, without conclusive data, the actual pro-science position is to be skeptical of the claims of experts and err on the side of caution.
Not all innovation is equal. Changing the type of lightbulb in the household is slightly easier to accept (since the very idea of a lightbulb isn’t exactly old) than totally upending our diets away from 100,000+ years of evolution.
Also, innovation is not value-neutral – no matter how much midwits scream otherwise. Even if the innovator intends it to be value-neutral, in the real world it won’t be. It can’t be. Because in the real world there’s people with interests and values. And lab-grown meat, at least for the time being, does not advance the values of normal people (frens) – in fact it hinders them. Lab-grown meat, for the time being, advances the interests of people who hate us (non-frens) and there’s nothing wrong with being skeptical of anything coming from the corner that hates you. Quite the opposite: It’s healthy.
By the way: This isn’t a Florida thing. Arizona is working on a similar policy. In Europe, Italy already banned this. The Romanian Senate passed a similar measure last year. Similar measures are being debated in Austria, France and Spain.
Maybe they’re all stupid or bought and paid for by Big Meat. But maybe not. Quality of food is far superiour in Europe to the good ol’ USA. So, again, heuristically speaking, it’s sensible to err on the side of caution when so many credentialed experts urge you to embrace a radical change that is quite literally unprecedented in history with a topic that is fundamental to human life.
Maybe this time the techno-optimists are right. If that’s the case, we can always change the law(s) again. But until then, it is more than reasonable to presume they’re wrong and act accordingly. Oh no… you won’t have the freedom to sell potential cancer. Yes, yes, the Scientists™ deboonked that. Here’s a link deboonking that crazy conspiracy theory. Oh, hold on, what does it say there?
Leading scientists agree that cultured meat products won’t give you cancer, but the industry doesn’t have the decades of data to prove it—so it’s trying to avoid the question instead.
Right. Then see you in a few decades when you got the data to prove it. Meanwhile, leave us alone, you demonic freaks!
Whether you call it Rule 34, educational content or, as in past times when Broadway was more honest – The Internet is for Porn – the fact remains that sex sells and sex-related trade is a driver of most new technologies. How that makes you feel is a separate conversation for some other time.
Short history
The oldest ever video was shot in 1874 and it’s something really autistic – the passing of the planet Venus over the Sun. The second oldest is from 1888 and it’s a random scene from someone’s backyard/garden. Third oldest is Lumière’s now famous 1895 shot of workers leaving the factory. The scene is now relatively famous because more people look up on the Internet “oldest continuous/smooth video”. But at the time, that scene had an audience of 10. Not ten thousand, but 10 people.
Just a few months later, in 1896, the first two erotic movies are made – one in France and one in the United States. That is the moment when “motion pictures” became an industry. Sure, the two films from 1896 wouldn’t be considered “erotic” today – but they were in their time. It’s also unsurprising that they happened in France (then just as today one of the most sex-positive countries and home of the invention of cinema) and in the US (the place where permitless innovation was the norm and daring investments a routine practice).
Video cassette recorder on the Betamax format
If you know what Betamax is, you’re either very old (and from a rich Western background) or someone who worked with anything that could be acquired in the post-communist chaos of early 1990s (like me).
If you don’t know what Betamax is, you’re either younger than 20 or you already know what VHS cassettes are. Betamax was the other format of cassettes, produced by Sony, as opposed to VHS cassettes produced by JVC.
In fact, Betamax cassettes were slightly better (and smaller in size) and they were the first video cassettes to be produced. A huge intra-Japanese war ensued with the Japanese government trying to force all manufacturers to adopt Betamax (because it was the first).
But the war was swiftly won by VHS. Why? Logistics and porn. But especially porn. The porn producers’ decision to adopt VHS as the medium of distribution for their production ended up making VHS the standard for everyone regardless of how they wanted to use their recorders/devices. This got expanded to cameras/camcoders too – which initially had a VHS cassette and later on a mini-VHS for regular people, while professional studios maintained the bigger ones (I filmed with one of those as late as 2004).
Betamax cassettes were produced until March of 2016 (!!) and VHS cassettes are still being produced today, though not by big mainstream manufacturers.
DVDs? Same story. They became widespread when pornographers decided they’re great for distributing higher-quality video. Then came mainstream movies and music. The reason pornographers adopted the DVD so fast was simple: Finally they could offer their end-users the ability to jump to the… ahem… preferred scene and do so seamlessly and without risking ruining the medium – as it had been the case with VHS cassettes. Anyone who digitalized VHS cassettes knows what I’m talking about – the most watched scenes tend to be the hardest to recover from an old tape.
Pay-per-view TV? Yeap, that’s pornographers’ work as well. And it was the same incentive: How to deliver content to clients in the most private way possible and as on-demand as possible while also charging money. Pioneered first in hotels and then in digital networks, pay-per-view TV became mainstream in early 2000s after the pornographers had perfected the model in the 1990s. In fact, the same pornographers then became consultants in tech and sale for mainstream content distributors later on.
The best example is Danni Ashe, the first big name in Internet pornography in 1994. Her career as a pornographer was, naturally, short. But her experience made her a sought-after consultant for every single big media corporation. She’s just the most famous example, but many others have been in the same position.
E-commerce? Yeah, that’s porn too. Long before anyone knew what e-commerce is, pornographers were already doing that as early as 1993. For the next 15 years, e-commerce meant porn. And then when it was perfected, industry insiders offered consultancy (for hefty fees) to everyone else on how to do it.
Likely the smartphone would’ve never become ubiquitous without the incentive for porn. In fact, the investments into 3G and 4G were only green-lit after consulting with the porn industry. It was (correctly) assumed that without the ability to distribute porn, the adoption of “smart” phones would be sluggish or simply won’t happen at all and thus investments would never be recovered.
By the way, this moment (around 2002 when 3G started to become a thing) is when you see a sharp rise in women consuming porn. A fact of life that anti-porn crussaders of 2024 have yet to integrate in their narrative(s), in part due to the women-are-wonderful effect.
Fast increase in bandwidth? Piracy and porn. Netflix came much later, when the market had “matured”. Netflix would’ve never happened without ThePirateBay and Porn.
From glorified tape recorder to useful technology
Michio Kaku calls present-day “AI” a glorified tape recorder. And he’s not wrong. As opposed to nearly every other take on “AI” on the Internet which competes in the “who can be the most wrong” Olympics.
But in order for “AI” (really just LLMs and 50 year old technology with bigger hard drives) to really become relevant, it will have to pass some tests. And the testing ground will be porn – regardless of what you and I think about that.
Just two days ago the first “AI” beauty pageant was announced. Well, sort of. It’s not exactly the first and the whole thing is not exactly new. But propaganda marketing matters because it creates perception. And in the world of propaganda, perception is reality.
But what will make or break this not-exactly-new-but-better-marketed technology will be “AI girlfriends” – which is a nicer way of saying porn. For now, there’s quite a bit of talk about how much that would be worth. But so far it’s only limited to chatbots.
May I remind you that chatbots for lonely people is not exactly something new. ELIZA is almost 60 years old.
Also, by “AI girlfriend” I don’t necessarily mean sex-bot androids with a language processor either – though that would certainly be a huge improvement. It will be enough if someone manages to create an advanced enough bot that can simulate a videochat-like conversation. That is to say… interactive porn by prompt.
By the way, interactive angle-changing for sport events that was the big thing in mid 2000s had been a thing in porn for over a decade prior. And the first interactive sports broadcasts paid for proprietary software to porn studios.
Similarly, the one who will be able to create interactive porn by prompt will get to set the standard for its “mainstream” offshoot (think realistic news anchors, entire sections of a featured movie and so on) and make big bucks out of it too.
There have already been some attempts at this, but they’re nowhere near close to good enough. And the only way they get good enough is through porn.
That’s when “media creators” should start worry. When the first company makes the first billion in revenue (VC investment doesn’t count) from selling access to PornGPT. That’s when we will also see the first really big REEEEE about porn in the 21st century, not dissimilar to the one from 1896 at the projection of (one of the) first erotic movies in a theater.
Or, alternatively, this doesn’t happen at all (or doesn’t happen in the next 50 years) because it’s too complicated without quantum computing – in which case “AI” goes where it deserves: A cute gimmick with niche applications – such as a glorified Grammarly to be used by kids to save time on bullshit assignments by bullshit professors/teachers in the bullshit institutions we still force them to attend because our societies are ruled by crazy people with bullshit ideas.
We’ll see what happens. But porn will be make or break.
În cadrul celui de-al nouălea summit al Inițiativei celor Trei Mări, procesul de aderare al Japoniei ca partener strategic al Inițiativei a fost finalizat.
Anunțul a fost făcut de Președintele României, Klaus Iohannis, pe platforma X (fostă Twitter).
In Vilnius 🇱🇹, for the 9th Three Seas Initiative Summit, to promote transport, energy & digital infrastructure connections on the EU’s North-South axis, and to stimulate business. Glad to welcome 🇯🇵 as #3SI 4th strategic partner, along with 🇺🇸, 🇩🇪, and the European Commission 🇪🇺. pic.twitter.com/XHJpcQ4Ypx
În cadrul aceluiași eveniment au participat și președinții Finlandei și Muntenegrului, țări care nu sunt membre ale Inițiativei.
În Finlanda partidul Perussuomalaiset (populist de dreapta) susține aderarea Finlandei la Inițiativă iar după alegerile din aprilie 2023, în urma cărora la putere a ajuns o coaliție de dreapta, Finlanda a devenit mult mai interesată de acest proiect.
În Muntenegru, interesul pentru inițiative occidentale a crescut treptat după 2020, odată cu înfrângerea DPS în alegerile din 2020 și căderea în dizgrație a lui Milo Đukanović care condusese țara de la proclamarea independenței față de Serbia.
Context
Discuția privind cooptarea Japoniei ca partener strategic a început în urmă cu fix un an cu ocazia vizitei președintelui României la Tokyo unde a fost primit de Împăratul Naruhito cu ocazia depășirii centenarului de la stabilirea relațiilor diplomatice dintre cele două țări.
În cadrul discuțiilor de la cel de-al optulea summit, ținut anul trecut la București, cooptarea Japoniei în proiect a fost unul din elementele aduse de președinția românească.
Japonia s-a arătat interesată de participarea în orice formă la Inițiativa celor Trei Mări încă din anul 2021 iar cooperarea japoneză s-a intensificat după escaladarea rusească în Ucraina începută în 2022.
Președinția Inițiativei este asigurată rotativ, pentru aproximativ un an, de către țara care organizează următorul Summit. Poziția a fost deținută de România până în septembrie anul trecut. După terminarea lucrărilor Summit-ului de la Vilnius, președinția rotativă va fi preluată de Ungaria până la organizarea Summit-ului de la Budapesta în 2025.
Inițiativa celor Trei Mări este o platformă la nivel prezidențial ce reunește Austria, Bulgaria, Croația, Cehia, Estonia, Ungaria, Letonia, Lituania, Polonia, România, Slovacia, Slovenia și Grecia, cea din urmă aderând în 2023 la Summit-ul de la București. Ucraina și Moldova participă în calitate de parteneri.
In the years following their disastrous defeat in 2015, the Social-Democratic party of Denmark underwent a hostile takeover. Mette Frederiksen’s faction seized power over the party, and with it created a fundamental shift in the ideological doctrine of the party.
Gone was the obsession with feminism under Helle Thorning-Schmidt, gone was the belief in mass immigration and Inclusivity Uber Alles, replaced instead with idyllic pictures of the Danish Cloth – a white cross in a crimson field, starkly contrasted to the blue skies of midsummer promising a return to “the Denmark you know”.
Vote for the Denmark you know
Sure the red still symbolized socialism, but the white crosses did signal resistance to the ever present, looming shadow of Islam. At the time a great many Leftists wondered how this had come to pass, that the party of Thorvald Stauning would turn its back on the progress that they’d carried the banner of for so long.
Outside of Denmark, as the decay of progressivism becomes ever more apparent, a great many more Leftists will be at least as surprised, if not outright shocked, when this event replicates itself across the Left-wing parties of the Western world. The reasons for this are multifaceted, but have their origin in how the progressive narrative is falling apart at the seems as we speak.
Part One – Narrative Folding
All narratives – no matter their quality or lack thereof, undergo some sort of decay. With every new generation the status quo created by the narrative conclusions of the previous one becomes the foundation for the next. In a way, they fold in on themselves.
This can be seen in the Nordic countries with the socialistic welfare state giving way to a state enabled solipsism, most prevalent in their elder care systems.
It became so easy to simply throw your grandparents to the institutions that it has become an absolute norm to send them to a state run elder home at first given opportunity. It’s not the family’s responsibility but the state’s. And you’re weird for doing otherwise.
We also see this in much of modernity in the Christian thinking world. We began from the premise that man is violent, that force is the solution to all problems, to Christ’s teachings that we must show restraint. As restraint became the new baseline, this gave way to the notion that not only is it important to show restraint, one must be incapable of violence whatsoever; i.e. Pacifism.
Much of the West’s issues, in particular with immigration are a result of ideological pacifism on a societal level against the less obvious violence of the state and the very obvious violence of Islamist’s and Left-wing extremists
A similar effect was seen in the islamisation of the once Christian Levant. It’s mostly known as a textbook example of the power of intransigent minorities, as per Nassim Taleb:
…the spread of Islam in the Near East where Christianity was heavily entrenched (it was born there) can be attributed to two simple asymmetries. The original Islamic rulers weren’t particularly interested in converting Christians as these provided them with tax revenues –the proselytism of Islam did not address those called “people of the book”, i.e. individuals of Abrahamic faith. In fact, my ancestors who survived thirteen centuries under Muslim rule saw advantages in not being Muslim: mostly in the avoidance of military conscription.
The two asymmetric rules were are as follows. First, if a non Muslim man under the rule of Islam marries a Muslim woman, he needs to convert to Islam –and if either parents of a child happens to be Muslim, the child will be Muslim. Second, becoming Muslim is irreversible, as apostasy is the heaviest crime under the religion, sanctioned by the death penalty. The famous Egyptian actor Omar Sharif, born Mikhael Demetri Shalhoub, was of Lebanese Christian origins. He converted to Islam to marry a famous Egyptian actress and had to change his name to an Arabic one. He later divorced, but did not revert to the faith of his ancestors.
Under these two asymmetric rules, one can do simple simulations and see how a small Islamic group occupying Christian (Coptic) Egypt can lead, over the centuries, to the Copts becoming a tiny minority. All one needs is a small rate of interfaith marriages.
Taleb’s analysis is mostly focused on the stubbornness aspect of the process, but does also hint at a rather important part: not why the parents pretended to convert but why their grandchildren became genuine Muslims (and radical ones at that).
As the original event that birthed the new status quo, that being the conversion to Islam, occurred, the fake converts may still have been Christian but they had to behave Muslim in public.
Their children then found this behavior natural and therefore effortlessly acted Muslim in public, but were still close enough to the experiences of their parents that the original narrative of simply pretending to convert would hold. This may even have been true of the grandchildren in some circumstances, but eventually – and inevitably, the internal and initial narrative faded, as it had no external reality left to be attached to anymore. As a result, the descendants eventually grew up behaving Muslim, being treated Muslim and thought themselves Muslim.
The original reasons for the status quo had faded and what remained where the consequences that where seen, felt and acted upon. And any narrative anchored in perceived reality will supplant one exempt from external affirmation. Eventually.
Current year Leftism will begin to undergo this at an accelerated pace, simply because it cannot sustain itself anymore, as too many facets of their ideology have become self destructive.
The most obvious example of this self destructive tendency is the transgenderist narrative.
It is already loosing ground, we are already seeing puberty blockers being banned for minors in the UK of all places, with the rest of the narrative to follow suit over the next five to ten years With it, the rest of the trans narrative is bound to follow suit, due to the internal inconsistencies and radicalism of the ideology.
As biology cycles out the older generations, the younger ones who grew up witnessing the consequences of seeing friends and family members suffer under the consequences of being trans’d, some of which might even have experienced it themselves, they will develop a narrative of great resentment to the consequences of the previous one.
The riots and damage in the wake of BLM and following attempts at normalizing crime in American blue-states will eventually force a resolution. With or without the Left. The younger generations are already being confronted with this havoc, and propaganda can only do so much to make them ignore reality, when it hits them in the face.
The rest of the sexual deviancy of the Left – from shoehorning in homosexuality everywhere, to the attempts at normalizing pedophilia, are not only deeply unpopular with any sane person (for good reason), they’re also unpopular with the migrants the Left themselves have imported. Most immigrants from the third world – whether Mexican or Muslim, are devoutly religious and deeply opposed to such… excesses, and keeping them as a base would require the Left to begin discarding their progressive ideals.
This is not helped by their view of Israel and World War 2. WW2 is sufficiently far in the past that can no longer cause much emotional reaction when invoked.
Combine this coming emotional irrelevance with the younger Left’s hatred of Israel – and that many of the Muslim voters they pay lip service to, loathe the Jewish State as well, and it doesn’t take a genius to see what direction they’re going in.
In addition, most of the narrative power regarding the horrors of the Nazi regime is depleted. The aspect that they they were a product of nationalism, patriotism and militarism (the positive view of a strong military) are slowly decaying, partially due to this lack of emotional interest, partially accelerated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The racism aspect meanwhile is similarly unraveling as the the narrative about the Holocaust has begun to fold in on itself. Since the younger generations are growing up – not with the premise that the Holocaust was a horrid thing they saw with their own eyes (like the Greatest Generation) or with the post-Nazi sentiment that the horrors of WW2 must never be repeated and society must be organized around preventing a repeat at all costs (like the Boomers and Millennials), but with a post-post-Nazi paradigm, that any invocation of the Holocaust or Nazis or racism is used exclusively as a tool. As a tactic used in order to unfairly shut down any conversation critical of the awful policies of the current status quo. And this has reached its zenith in the last ten or so years and is well known by anyone intellectually honest.
Whether or not this results in an anti-Semitic resurgence depends on the amount and effectiveness of the censorship in the next 20 years, as the only reason the alt-right ever had anything resembling relevance was the fact that no other group than the Neo-Nazis where willing to interact with those critical of the current narrative surrounding WW2.
In some ways, we can already see that the Left is abandoning this tactic in favor of other forms of thought-terminating cliches.
A recent Atlantic article covered the rise of “chaos agents” – people willing to spread propaganda regardless of its angle solely because it would cause more conflict within the society. What this really is, is a smoking gun, that the old Nazi accusation tactic does not work anymore and that they’re now trying to replace it with new ones, in order to maintain at least some of the power that the Nazi accusations had. This specific tool will likely not work on the level of the commoner, but it will spread through the universities and intelligentsia as a tool for keeping intellectual discussion in line.
When you take all of this into account – the collapse of the trans narrative, the conservative leanings of the Left’s migrant base, the need for law and order in the wake of immigration and BLM and the increasingly radical anti-Semitism within the younger Left, it becomes obvious that the Left is going to fracture along the lines of progressive versus non-progressive
But while this faction may in ways resemble conservatives on social issues (and here I make the exception of anti-Semitism as it simply does not exist on a large scale on the right) in theory, in practice they will differ quite severely. Why?
Because at the end of the day, the modus operandi of the Left has for decades, if not centuries, been securization.
Part Two – Securization
Securization is the political science term for the study of how narratives are (re)framed to justify the centralization of power under the pretense of security (what they call a “securitized narrative”), and it has been a blatantly obvious tool of the maximal state for decades if not centuries by now.
The most obvious example of this in practice in recent memory was the pandemic project. That society must be locked down and controlled for the security and protection of our (elder’s) lives.
People who grew up in the 2000s got to see this in the shape of cases like the Patriot act – attempts at expanding the surveillance state under the pretense of security from terrorism.
As the Left grew more dominant we’ve started to see their attempts at securization more often:
Censorship is justified under the pretense of security, from “nazis”.
Mass immigration is justified under the pretense of security, of the immigrants’ human rights.
The deterioration of law and order in democrat cities is justified under the pretense of security, from police brutality
Transing of children is justified under the pretense of security from their biology, as the therapy wont work as well if they wait, so they have to get them while young, you see.
While securization has been a tool of the establishment Right as well, it has typically been less obviously intrusive and directly harmful, as the right still has libertarian factions within it to counterbalance it. Even now that the Right began to talk about a potential Tiktok ban the suggested policy – being totalitarian as ever – has not been embraced fully by the Right, with Trump himself weighing in against it. It’s debatable whether a ban of Tiktok would be to the benefit of Facebook but, at the end of the day, his concerns do result in a limiting of governmental overreach.
On the Left meanwhile, there are no libertarian reflexes and little pragmatism inhibiting their totalitarian urges.
The thing is that most of the attempts at solving the problems caused by the insanity of the current Left can easily become securitized narratives themselves.
Now that the censorship has created extremists, their existence can be used to either justify even more censorship – or the extremists themselves can begin to argue in favor of their own forms of totalitarianism.
The violence caused by immigration and BLM can be used as justification for a massive police and surveillance state. This already happened under Mette Frederiksen where not only they argued for a massive surveillance state like totalitarian hellholes like China or Britain, but the justification for doing so was as a means of safety from the “consequences of a mistaken immigration and integration policy”. On a side note, during parliamentary debates the minister of Justice argued that since it is impossible to have any sort of freedom without safety, and a massive surveillance state would increase safety, therefore increased surveillance is an increase of freedom. This is one more reason a social-conservative Left-wing both can and will come into existence.
At this point in time, where progressivism is close to being exhausted, social-conservatism simply seems to be the easiest path to grabbing and centralizing power under the maximal state. It would also allow the Left access to the “churchcommie” elements among the politically activated.
Churchcommie is a slang term for a certain type of authoritarian social-conservative that wishes to implement a maximal state in order to stomp out whatever they view as degeneracy in society. If you told one of these people about Ceaușescu’s views on abortion (complete ban alongside contraceptives), without telling them what politician suggested it, they’d probably want to vote for him.
We have already seen such reflexes be used to securitize pornography: bans on various porn sites which we have so far first seen attempted in Britain. While the system inevitably failed due to being unenforceable, the underlying puritanical values that gave birth to this bill are real and a threat to civil liberties. And thus, easily subverted by the future Left.
Part Three – The next Left
The Left will not abandon progressivism overnight. What will happen is the fracture within the Left between progressive and non-progressive will widen ever more as the Left begins to loose power in elections. Eventually, after one too many defeats at the hand of the right, such a non-progressive faction will attempt a hostile takeover – as it happened in Denmark.
The replacement of progressive ideas with social conservative ones has happened many times before in the history of Leftism.
After Lenin’s extremely degenerate views (even by Russian standards), Stalin went in the exact opposite direction and imposed extremely harsh conservative policies (also even by Russian standards) on the Russian people(s).
Similarly Ceaușescu emerged after a much more feminist (yes, really) Soviet puppet regime in Communist occupied Romania.
After Mao’s Great Leap Forward, China slowly began to implement what can be viewed as a form of capitalism – though a very crony and highly state controlled one, as they found out that collective farms simply didn’t work.
While I doubt the Western Left’s social conservative switch will be as brutal, as they still have to win votes at the end of the day, it’ll no doubt still be terrible for the society as it will be used as a means of centralizing power – and lining the Left’s pockets in the process.
But it simply seems to be the only good means of achieving securization in the post-progressive paradigm. And also allows them to tap into the disgruntled totalitarian forces among the politically activated right.
As simple pragmatism forces the lines to blur between Left and Right it’ll become a lot harder for the right to make their case, since their current Trumpist narrative is build around them being against an obviously evil foe. You can’t do that if the foe uses your exact arguments with a different coat of paint and slightly different motives.
(On a side note, it shocked me how easy it would have been to frame this analysis as an elaborate plan by the Left: that they intend to sell a cure for a disease that they created. Though this might literally happen in some parts of California where the bubonic plague is reemerging. That said, this runs on the assumption that the Left actually knows what they’re doing. And they don’t.)
The form that this new Left would take would therefore be much more akin to the Danish Social-Democrats, not just because it is the closest they have to a template that actually makes sense and could work, but also because it is coming from a Scandinavian country.
Most of the bad ideas that are currently haunting the West may have their origin in the USA, but the R&D for them is done in Scandinavia before being shipped back for final testing and publication.
Some of the examples of this include transgenderism, the first “modern” gender reassignment surgery was performed in Denmark after all (look up Christine Jorgensen, if you must). Modern Feminism which was first implemented in true form in Sweden and the recent Atlantic article regarding “chaos agents” is based on the research of a Danish sociologist who worked with the government during the pandemic.
Even the concept of securization theory was heavily influenced by the work of Ole Wæver – also a Dane. Not to mention the notion of the welfare state itself.
“Getting to Denmark” is a common trope in political science, that a welfare “utopia” like Denmark is the desirable end goal of any society.
The Left’s fetishization of Scandinavia and it’s bad ideas is not going to end any time soon and, no doubt, looking to the now much more socially conservative, but still economically Left-wing politics of the region, is a good indicator of where the Left will go next once progressivism has been drained of all it could offer.
Part Four – Conclusions
For the Right this paradigm shift will be a poison chalice; it will only mean a renormalization of conservative values in the short term, as long as such values can be exploited to seize more power for the state. Long term, if not properly managed, this will result in the generation that will follow becoming one extremely hostile to conservative values. And, when a brain drain eventually begins to take hold on the Right, they will be stuck and incapable of inventing new ideas to work around this stigma.
It has been said that Conservatism is not so much about conserving what matters, but ensuring that the innate vices of human nature are managed in such a way their damage is minimized and hopefully turned to benefits.
Perhaps it is time that the conservatives begin managing the vices of Social-Conservatism.